Bundesliga · Mar 13, 2026 19:30
Borussia Mönchengladbach
PWR 4
FC St. Pauli
PWR 35
Borussia Mönchengladbach
PWR 4
1-1
predicted
FC St. Pauli
PWR 35
33%
27%
40%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (62% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
62%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (15%)3-0 (15%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (6%)3-1 (6%)1-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.39x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.0x
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
BTTS
No
No 33%
Over 3.5
26%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
10Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
3.00.0
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Borussia Mönch…
LWLLD
STABLE
FC St. Pauli
DWWLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityHome team draws 33% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.3
Expected Goals (xG)
2.92
Borussia Mönch…vs
0.43
FC St. PauliGoal Probability
Borussia Mö…
0
5%
1
16%
2
23%
3
22%
4
16%
FC St. Pauli
0
65%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (13%)1-0 (11%)0-1 (9%)2-1 (9%)0-0 (8%)1-2 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 73% | 27% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 47% | 53% | - |
| 3.5 | 26% | 74% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#12
Borussia Mö…+4
Gap#16
FC St. Pauli
WR 25% 25 pts
WR 15% 24 pts
Borussia Mönch…
6.0%
| Mar 06 | Borussi… v FC Baye… | 4-1 |
| Feb 28 | Borussi… v Union B… | 1-0 |
| Feb 22 | Borussi… v SC Frei… | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | Borussi… v Eintrac… | 3-0 |
| Feb 07 | Borussi… v Bayer 0… | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Borussi… v Werder … | 1-1 |
| Jan 25 | Borussi… v VfB Stu… | 0-3 |
| Jan 17 | Borussi… v Hamburg… | 0-0 |
| Jan 14 | Borussi… v 1899 Ho… | 5-1 |
| Jan 11 | Borussi… v FC Augs… | 4-0 |
FC St. Pauli
14.0%
| Mar 08 | FC St. … v Eintrac… | 0-0 |
| Feb 28 | FC St. … v 1899 Ho… | 0-1 |
| Feb 22 | FC St. … v Werder … | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | FC St. … v Bayer 0… | 4-0 |
| Feb 07 | FC St. … v VfB Stu… | 2-1 |
| Feb 03 | FC St. … v Bayer 0… | 3-0 |
| Jan 31 | FC St. … v FC Augs… | 2-1 |
| Jan 27 | FC St. … v RasenBa… | 1-1 |
| Jan 23 | FC St. … v Hamburg… | 0-0 |
| Jan 17 | FC St. … v Borussi… | 3-2 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Dec 02, 2025 | Borussia Mönc… | 1-2 | FC St. Pauli |
| Nov 01, 2025 | FC St. Pauli | 0-4 | Borussia Mönc… |
| Apr 06, 2025 | FC St. Pauli | 1-1 | Borussia Mönc… |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Borussia Mönc… | 2-0 | FC St. Pauli |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Borussia Mönc… | 0-1 | FC St. Pauli |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
59%
Market
52%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
FC St. Pauli in strong form (3W in last 5)
Borussia Mönchengladbach struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.