Bundesliga · Mar 14, 2026 17:30
Hamburger SV
PWR 29
FC Koln
PWR 46
Hamburger SV
PWR 29
2-1
predicted
FC Koln
PWR 46
57%
23%
20%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Hamburger SV Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (13%)1-0 (12%)2-1 (10%)3-0 (9%)1-1 (9%)3-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
54%
Under 2.5
46%
BTTS
No 47%
Over 3.5
36%
Team Comparison
30Attack60
54Defense70
Goals/G
1.02.0
Conc/G
1.51.0
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Hamburger SV
WLLDW
STABLE
FC Koln
LLDLL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 31% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (27.9%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.19
Hamburger SVvs
0.75
FC KolnGoal Probability
Hamburger SV
0
11%
1
25%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
FC Koln
0
47%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (11%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)1-1 (9%)3-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 80% | 20% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 58% | 42% | - |
| 3.5 | 36% | 64% | - |
| 4.5 | 19% | 81% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
Hamburger SV+4
Gap#14
FC Koln
WR 39% 29 pts
WR 17% 24 pts
Hamburger SV
10.0%
| Mar 07 | Hamburg… v VfL Wol… | 1-2 |
| Mar 04 | Hamburg… v Bayer 0… | 0-1 |
| Mar 01 | Hamburg… v RasenBa… | 1-2 |
| Feb 20 | Hamburg… v FSV Mai… | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Hamburg… v Union B… | 3-2 |
| Feb 07 | Hamburg… v FC Heid… | 0-2 |
| Jan 31 | Hamburg… v FC Baye… | 2-2 |
| Jan 23 | Hamburg… v FC St. … | 0-0 |
| Jan 17 | Hamburg… v Borussi… | 0-0 |
| Jan 10 | Hamburg… v SC Frei… | 2-1 |
FC Koln
2.0%
| Mar 07 | FC Koln v Borussi… | 1-2 |
| Feb 27 | FC Koln v FC Augs… | 2-0 |
| Feb 21 | FC Koln v 1899 Ho… | 2-2 |
| Feb 14 | FC Koln v VfB Stu… | 3-1 |
| Feb 08 | FC Koln v RasenBa… | 1-2 |
| Jan 30 | FC Koln v VfL Wol… | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | FC Koln v SC Frei… | 2-1 |
| Jan 17 | FC Koln v FSV Mai… | 2-1 |
| Jan 14 | FC Koln v FC Baye… | 1-3 |
| Jan 10 | FC Koln v FC Heid… | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Nov 02, 2025 | FC Koln | 4-1 | Hamburger SV |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Hamburger SV | 1-0 | FC Koln |
| Aug 02, 2024 | FC Koln | 1-2 | Hamburger SV |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
86%
Standings
63%
Market
50%
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
FC Koln struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.