Bundesliga · Mar 15, 2026 16:30
SC Freiburg
PWR 34
Union Berlin
PWR 46
SC Freiburg
PWR 34
3-1
predicted
Union Berlin
PWR 46
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
SC Freiburg Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (13%)3-0 (12%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)1-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
58%
Under 2.5
42%
BTTS
No 44%
Over 3.5
40%
Team Comparison
47Attack60
51Defense70
Goals/G
1.62.0
Conc/G
1.71.0
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
SC Freiburg
DLWLW
STABLE
Union Berlin
LWWLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 33% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateH2H: 3/6 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (25.7%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.62
SC Freiburgvs
0.64
Union BerlinGoal Probability
SC Freiburg
0
7%
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
Union Berlin
0
53%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (10%)2-1 (10%)1-0 (8%)2-0 (8%)1-2 (6%)3-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 83% | 17% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 62% | 38% | - |
| 3.5 | 40% | 61% | - |
| 4.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
SC Freiburg+3
Gap#11
Union Berlin
WR 58% 34 pts
WR 25% 28 pts
SC Freiburg
10.0%
| Mar 07 | SC Frei… v Bayer 0… | 3-3 |
| Mar 01 | SC Frei… v Eintrac… | 2-0 |
| Feb 22 | SC Frei… v Borussi… | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | SC Frei… v 1899 Ho… | 3-0 |
| Feb 07 | SC Frei… v Werder … | 1-0 |
| Feb 01 | SC Frei… v VfB Stu… | 1-0 |
| Jan 29 | SC Frei… v Lille | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | SC Frei… v FC Koln | 2-1 |
| Jan 22 | SC Frei… v Maccabi… | 1-0 |
| Jan 18 | SC Frei… v FC Augs… | 2-2 |
Union Berlin
12.0%
| Mar 08 | Union B… v Werder … | 1-4 |
| Mar 07 | Union B… v Oberneu… | 4-2 |
| Mar 01 | Union B… v Sebalds… | 1-2 |
| Feb 28 | Union B… v Borussi… | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Union B… v Bayer 0… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Union B… v Hamburg… | 3-2 |
| Feb 06 | Union B… v Eintrac… | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Union B… v 1899 Ho… | 3-1 |
| Jan 24 | Union B… v Borussi… | 0-3 |
| Jan 18 | Union B… v VfB Stu… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Nov 01, 2025 | Union Berlin | 0-0 | SC Freiburg |
| Mar 30, 2025 | SC Freiburg | 1-2 | Union Berlin |
| Nov 08, 2024 | Union Berlin | 0-0 | SC Freiburg |
| May 18, 2024 | Union Berlin | 2-1 | SC Freiburg |
| May 18, 2024 | Union Berlin | 2-1 | SC Freiburg |
| Jan 13, 2024 | SC Freiburg | 0-0 | Union Berlin |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
93%
Standings
64%
Market
50%
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Union Berlin in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.