Ligue 1 · Mar 15, 2026 16:00
Paris Saint Germain
PWR 49
Nantes
PWR 26
Paris Saint Germain
PWR 49
5-1
predicted
Nantes
PWR 26
59%
22%
19%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Paris Saint Germain Win
Score
5-1
Confidence
77%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)2-0 (6%)2-1 (5%)3-2 (3%)1-0 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
64%
64%
Under 2.5
36%
BTTS
Yes 57%
Over 3.5
60%
60%
Team Comparison
65Attack29
76Defense46
Goals/G
2.21.0
Conc/G
0.81.8
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Paris Saint Ge…
WLWDW
STABLE
Nantes
LLWLL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy88%
FORM_MOMENTUMFORM_DOMINANTPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPTABLE_EXTREMES
Standings data available (Tier 2)Elevated draw risk (20.3%) - consider AHElite league - reduced threshold✓ Passed (5 independent rules, 77% confidence)
Expected Goals (xG)
4.11
Paris Saint Ge…vs
0.87
NantesGoal Probability
Paris Saint…
0
2%
1
7%
2
14%
3
19%
4
20%
Nantes
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
3-0 (9%)2-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)4-0 (8%)2-1 (7%)4-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 79% | 21% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 60% | 40% | - |
| 4.5 | 41% | 59% | - |
| 5.5 | 25% | 76% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Paris Saint…+16
Gap#17
Nantes
WR 83% 57 pts
WR 17% 17 pts
Paris Saint Ge…
14.0%
| Mar 11 | Paris S… v Chelsea | 5-2 |
| Mar 06 | Paris S… v AS Mona… | 1-3 |
| Feb 28 | Paris S… v LE Havr… | 0-1 |
| Feb 25 | Paris S… v AS Mona… | 2-2 |
| Feb 21 | Paris S… v Metz | 3-0 |
| Feb 17 | Paris S… v AS Mona… | 2-3 |
| Feb 13 | Paris S… v Rennes … | 3-1 |
| Feb 08 | Paris S… v Olympiq… | 5-0 |
| Feb 01 | Paris S… v Strasbo… | 1-2 |
| Jan 28 | Paris S… v Newcast… | 1-1 |
Nantes
4.0%
| Mar 07 | Nantes v Angers | 0-1 |
| Mar 01 | Nantes v Lille | 1-0 |
| Feb 22 | Nantes v LE Havr… | 2-0 |
| Feb 13 | Nantes v AS Mona… | 3-1 |
| Feb 07 | Nantes v Lyon | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | Nantes v Lorient | 2-1 |
| Jan 25 | Nantes v Nice | 1-4 |
| Jan 18 | Nantes v Paris FC | 1-2 |
| Jan 11 | Nantes v Nice | 1-1 |
| Jan 04 | Nantes v Olympiq… | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Aug 17, 2025 | Nantes | 0-1 | Paris Saint G… |
| Apr 22, 2025 | Nantes | 1-1 | Paris Saint G… |
Decision Breakdown
CS68+S65 (82.8%)S70+DR<22 (82.1%)S75+DR<25 (81.8%)M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)CS68+S70+DR<25 (80.0%)GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)CS68+M80 (75.0%)HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
94%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Paris Saint Germain in strong form (3W in last 5)
Nantes struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.