Ligue 1 · Mar 14, 2026 20:05
AS Monaco
PWR 34
Stade Brestois 29
PWR 31
AS Monaco
PWR 34
3-1
predicted
Stade Brestois 29
PWR 31
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
AS Monaco Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (12%)2-0 (10%)3-1 (7%)2-1 (6%)1-0 (6%)1-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
64%
64%
Under 2.5
36%
BTTS
No 45%
Over 3.5
36%
Team Comparison
48Attack39
51Defense51
Goals/G
1.61.3
Conc/G
1.71.7
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
AS Monaco
WWDWL
STABLE
Stade Brestois…
WWWDW
UP
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk23%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateElevated draw risk (22.5%) - consider AHElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got SKIP/0 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
3.40
AS Monacovs
0.63
Stade Brestois…Goal Probability
AS Monaco
0
3%
1
11%
2
19%
3
22%
4
19%
Stade Brest…
0
53%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (11%)2-1 (10%)1-0 (9%)2-0 (8%)1-2 (6%)3-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 80% | 20% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 58% | 42% | - |
| 3.5 | 36% | 65% | - |
| 4.5 | 19% | 81% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 9% | 92% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#7
AS Monaco+2
Gap#9
Stade Brest…
WR 62% 40 pts
WR 25% 36 pts
AS Monaco
14.0%
| Mar 06 | AS Mona… v Paris S… | 1-3 |
| Feb 28 | AS Mona… v Angers | 2-0 |
| Feb 25 | AS Mona… v Paris S… | 2-2 |
| Feb 21 | AS Mona… v Lens | 2-3 |
| Feb 17 | AS Mona… v Paris S… | 2-3 |
| Feb 13 | AS Mona… v Nantes | 3-1 |
| Feb 08 | AS Mona… v Nice | 0-0 |
| Feb 05 | AS Mona… v Strasbo… | 3-1 |
| Jan 31 | AS Mona… v Rennes … | 4-0 |
| Jan 28 | AS Mona… v Juventus | 0-0 |
Stade Brestois…
18.0%
| Mar 08 | Stade B… v LE Havr… | 2-0 |
| Mar 01 | Stade B… v Metz | 0-1 |
| Feb 20 | Stade B… v Olympiq… | 2-0 |
| Feb 14 | Stade B… v Lille | 1-1 |
| Feb 07 | Stade B… v Lorient | 2-0 |
| Feb 01 | Stade B… v Nice | 2-2 |
| Jan 25 | Stade B… v Toulouse | 0-2 |
| Jan 18 | Stade B… v Lyon | 2-1 |
| Jan 04 | Stade B… v Auxerre | 2-0 |
| Dec 13 | Stade B… v Rennes … | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Dec 05, 2025 | Stade Brestoi… | 1-0 | AS Monaco |
| Apr 05, 2025 | Stade Brestoi… | 2-1 | AS Monaco |
| Nov 22, 2024 | AS Monaco | 3-2 | Stade Brestoi… |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Stade Brestoi… | 0-2 | AS Monaco |
| Nov 05, 2023 | AS Monaco | 2-0 | Stade Brestoi… |
| Feb 19, 2023 | Stade Brestoi… | 1-2 | AS Monaco |
| Jan 01, 2023 | AS Monaco | 1-0 | Stade Brestoi… |
| May 14, 2022 | AS Monaco | 4-2 | Stade Brestoi… |
| Oct 31, 2021 | Stade Brestoi… | 2-0 | AS Monaco |
| Feb 28, 2021 | AS Monaco | 2-0 | Stade Brestoi… |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
64%
Market
50%
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
AS Monaco in strong form (3W in last 5)
Stade Brestois 29 in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.