Premier League · Mar 13, 2026 19:45
Caernarfon Town
PWR 35
GAP Connah S Quay FC
PWR 35
Caernarfon Town
PWR 35
2-2
predicted
GAP Connah S Quay FC
PWR 35
61%
22%
17%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Caernarfon Town Win
Score
2-2
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (14%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (10%)0-0 (9%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.78x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.54x
Over 2.5
42%
Under 2.5
58%
BTTS
No 45%
Over 3.5
71%
71%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Caernarfon Town
DWDWW
STABLE
GAP Connah S Q…
LLDDD
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 4/10 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (33.4%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Caernarfon Townvs
0.88
GAP Connah S Q…Goal Probability
Caernarfon …
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
5%
GAP Connah …
0
42%
1
37%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
2-2 (7%)2-1 (6%)1-2 (6%)3-2 (6%)2-3 (5%)1-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 71% | 29% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 53% | 47% | - |
| 5.5 | 35% | 65% | - |
| 6.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Caernarfon …-2
Gap#2
GAP Connah …
WR 36% 34 pts
WR 64% 47 pts
Caernarfon Town
16.0%
| Mar 08 | Caernar… v Rhyl | 0-0 |
| Mar 06 | Caernar… v Trethom… | 4-5 |
| Mar 01 | Caernar… v Newport… | 4-4 |
| Feb 27 | Caernar… v Colwyn … | 3-0 |
| Feb 21 | Caernar… v Caerau … | 3-4 |
| Feb 20 | Caernar… v The New… | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | Caernar… v Bala To… | 0-2 |
| Feb 13 | Caernar… v Trefelin | 0-2 |
| Feb 06 | Caernar… v GAP Con… | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Caernar… v Colwyn … | 4-1 |
GAP Connah S Q…
6.0%
| Mar 03 | GAP Con… v The New… | 1-2 |
| Feb 21 | GAP Con… v Bala To… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | GAP Con… v Penybont | 0-0 |
| Feb 06 | GAP Con… v Caernar… | 1-1 |
| Jan 24 | GAP Con… v Colwyn … | 2-2 |
| Jan 13 | GAP Con… v Caernar… | 2-2 |
| Jan 03 | GAP Con… v Bala To… | 3-1 |
| Dec 31 | GAP Con… v The New… | 3-1 |
| Dec 26 | GAP Con… v Flint T… | 0-2 |
| Dec 21 | GAP Con… v Briton … | 4-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 06, 2026 | GAP Connah S … | 1-1 | Caernarfon To… |
| Jan 13, 2026 | Caernarfon To… | 2-2 | GAP Connah S … |
| Sep 23, 2025 | GAP Connah S … | 1-2 | Caernarfon To… |
| Dec 03, 2024 | GAP Connah S … | 1-1 | Caernarfon To… |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Caernarfon To… | 3-1 | GAP Connah S … |
| Sep 17, 2024 | GAP Connah S … | 3-2 | Caernarfon To… |
| Mar 15, 2024 | Caernarfon To… | 2-1 | GAP Connah S … |
| Feb 02, 2024 | GAP Connah S … | 1-1 | Caernarfon To… |
| Oct 27, 2023 | GAP Connah S … | 6-1 | Caernarfon To… |
| Oct 14, 2023 | GAP Connah S … | 4-1 | Caernarfon To… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
68%
Standings
46%
Market
37%
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Caernarfon Town in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.