Premier Division · Mar 16, 2026 19:45
St Patrick's Athl.
PWR 35
St Patrick's Athl.
PWR 35
2-1
predicted
Kerry FC
PWR 51
PWR 51
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
St Patrick's Athl. Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (20%)1-0 (18%)3-0 (15%)0-0 (8%)2-1 (6%)1-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
43%
Under 2.5
57%
BTTS
No
No 22%
Over 3.5
10%
Team Comparison
0Attack49
100Defense62
Goals/G
0.01.4
Conc/G
0.01.1
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
St Patrick's A…
LWWWL
STABLE
Kerry FC
DDLDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
POINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 1% = 35.1% draw rateAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (28.4%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.23
St Patrick's A…vs
0.28
Kerry FCGoal Probability
St Patrick'…
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Kerry FC
0
76%
1
21%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (22%)0-0 (18%)2-0 (13%)1-1 (11%)0-1 (9%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 82% | 18% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 51% | 49% | - |
| 2.5 | 25% | 75% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
St Patrick'…+2
Gap#4
Kerry FC
WR 44% 125 pts
WR 42% 103 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St Patrick's … | 78 | 34 | 23 | 21 | 102 | 76 | 125 |
| Kerry FC | 66 | 28 | 19 | 19 | 92 | 72 | 103 |
St Patrick's A…
12.0%
| Mar 13 | St Patr… v Droghed… | 0-1 |
| Mar 06 | St Patr… v Shelbou… | 2-3 |
| Mar 02 | St Patr… v Galway … | 1-0 |
| Feb 27 | St Patr… v Dundalk | 4-0 |
| Feb 20 | St Patr… v Shamroc… | 2-0 |
| Feb 08 | St Patr… v Bohemia… | 0-0 |
| Nov 01 | St Patr… v Melbour… | 0-0 |
| Oct 24 | St Patr… v Wexford | 1-1 |
| Oct 20 | St Patr… v Bohemia… | 0-0 |
| Oct 17 | St Patr… v Shamroc… | 1-0 |
Kerry FC
10.0%
| Mar 13 | Kerry FC v Wexford | 0-0 |
| Mar 06 | Kerry FC v Treaty … | 2-2 |
| Mar 06 | Kerry FC v Shamroc… | 1-0 |
| Feb 27 | Kerry FC v Longfor… | 1-1 |
| Feb 27 | Kerry FC v Wexford | 4-2 |
| Feb 20 | Kerry FC v Athlone… | 0-1 |
| Feb 20 | Kerry FC v Bohemia… | 0-1 |
| Feb 13 | Kerry FC v UCD | 2-1 |
| Feb 13 | Kerry FC v Dundalk | 2-2 |
| Feb 06 | Kerry FC v Sligo R… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Aug 29, 2025 | Kerry FC | 2-2 | St Patrick's … |
| Jun 23, 2025 | St Patrick's … | 0-1 | Kerry FC |
| May 05, 2025 | Kerry FC | 1-0 | St Patrick's … |
| Mar 03, 2025 | St Patrick's … | 2-0 | Kerry FC |
| Oct 25, 2024 | St Patrick's … | 1-0 | Kerry FC |
| Jul 21, 2024 | Kerry FC | 3-0 | St Patrick's … |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
93%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
St Patrick's Athl. in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.