Ligue 1 · Mar 13, 2026 21:00
ASO Chlef
PWR 35
Mostaganem
PWR 35
ASO Chlef
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Mostaganem
PWR 35
55%
23%
22%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ASO Chlef Win
Score
1-0
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (28%)2-0 (20%)0-0 (19%)3-0 (10%)1-1 (6%)2-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.36x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.04x
Over 2.5
23%
Under 2.5
77%
77%
BTTS
No
No 14%
Over 3.5
10%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
ASO Chlef
WDLWL
STABLE
Mostaganem
LLDLD
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk22%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskElevated draw risk (22.1%) - consider AHElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got SKIP/0 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
ASO Chlefvs
0.20
MostaganemGoal Probability
ASO Chlef
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
Mostaganem
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (24%)0-0 (17%)2-0 (17%)1-1 (9%)3-0 (8%)0-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 83% | 17% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 53% | 48% | - |
| 2.5 | 26% | 74% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#13
ASO Chlef+2
Gap#15
Mostaganem
WR 36% 25 pts
WR 0% 14 pts
ASO Chlef
10.0%
| Mar 06 | ASO Chl… v ES Sétif | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | ASO Chl… v MB Roui… | 1-1 |
| Feb 20 | ASO Chl… v CS Cons… | 0-2 |
| Feb 13 | ASO Chl… v El Baya… | 0-1 |
| Feb 08 | ASO Chl… v JS Saou… | 0-1 |
| Feb 04 | ASO Chl… v Khenche… | 2-2 |
| Jan 23 | ASO Chl… v Paradou… | 2-0 |
| Jan 09 | ASO Chl… v MC Alger | 0-0 |
| Dec 27 | ASO Chl… v JS Kaby… | 2-1 |
| Dec 18 | ASO Chl… v MC Oran | 1-0 |
Mostaganem
4.0%
| Mar 07 | Mostaga… v MC Alger | 0-5 |
| Feb 28 | Mostaga… v ES Sétif | 3-0 |
| Feb 21 | Mostaga… v JS Kaby… | 2-2 |
| Feb 14 | Mostaga… v MB Roui… | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Mostaga… v MC Oran | 0-0 |
| Feb 03 | Mostaga… v CS Cons… | 2-1 |
| Jan 23 | Mostaga… v Oued Ak… | 1-0 |
| Jan 15 | Mostaga… v JS Saou… | 0-2 |
| Jan 08 | Mostaga… v El Baya… | 1-0 |
| Dec 29 | Mostaga… v Ben Akn… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Oct 17, 2025 | Mostaganem | 0-1 | ASO Chlef |
| May 25, 2025 | Mostaganem | 1-0 | ASO Chlef |
| Dec 07, 2024 | ASO Chlef | 2-0 | Mostaganem |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
84%
Standings
64%
Market
53%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Mostaganem struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.