Division Profesional - Apertura · Mar 18, 2026 23:30
Libertad Asunción
PWR 62
Nacional Asunción
PWR 48
Libertad Asunción
PWR 62
3-1
predicted
Nacional Asunción
PWR 48
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Libertad Asunción Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (13%)1-0 (11%)0-1 (9%)2-1 (9%)0-0 (8%)1-2 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS
Yes 52%
Over 3.5
25%
Team Comparison
59Attack45
71Defense59
Goals/G
1.71.3
Conc/G
0.81.2
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Libertad Asunc…
WWLLL
STABLE
Nacional Asunc…
DDDDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
POINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Away team drew 5/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (28.3%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Libertad Asunc…vs
1.18
Nacional Asunc…Goal Probability
Libertad As…
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Nacional As…
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
3%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)1-0 (12%)2-1 (9%)2-0 (9%)0-1 (8%)0-0 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 72% | 28% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 46% | 54% | - |
| 3.5 | 25% | 75% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Libertad As…+4
Gap#5
Nacional As…
WR 55% 79 pts
WR 38% 59 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertad Asun… | 42 | 23 | 10 | 9 | 71 | 35 | 79 |
| Nacional Asun… | 42 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 54 | 49 | 59 |
Libertad Asunc…
8.0%
| Mar 07 | Liberta… v Sportiv… | 1-0 |
| Mar 02 | Liberta… v Club Sp… | 0-7 |
| Feb 25 | Liberta… v Olimpia | 1-0 |
| Feb 20 | Liberta… v Rubio Ñu | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Liberta… v Sportiv… | 1-0 |
| Feb 08 | Liberta… v Club Gu… | 3-3 |
| Feb 02 | Liberta… v Deporti… | 2-1 |
| Jan 28 | Liberta… v Sportiv… | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | Liberta… v Cerro P… | 1-1 |
| Nov 27 | Liberta… v General… | 2-0 |
Nacional Asunc…
10.0%
| Mar 09 | Naciona… v Sportiv… | 1-1 |
| Mar 05 | Naciona… v Deporti… | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Naciona… v Club Gu… | 1-1 |
| Feb 26 | Naciona… v Deporti… | 2-2 |
| Feb 19 | Naciona… v Sportiv… | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Naciona… v Cerro P… | 0-2 |
| Feb 08 | Naciona… v Olimpia | 1-2 |
| Jan 31 | Naciona… v 2 de Ma… | 5-1 |
| Jan 27 | Naciona… v Sportiv… | 1-2 |
| Jan 24 | Naciona… v Club Sp… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Sep 27, 2025 | Nacional Asun… | 3-1 | Libertad Asun… |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Libertad Asun… | 0-1 | Nacional Asun… |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Libertad Asunción struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.