Victoria NPL · Mar 14, 2026 04:00
Melbourne City II
PWR 35
1-0
predicted

St. Albans Saints
PWR 35
50% 24% 26%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Melbourne City II Win
Score
1-0
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-1 (18%)0-0 (13%)1-1 (12%)0-2 (12%)1-0 (9%)1-2 (8%)
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.61x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.76x
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5 67%
67%
BTTS
No 36%
Over 3.5 60%
60%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Melbourne City… DLWD
STABLE
St. Albans Sai… WLLDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 50% at home = very high riskBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateHome team drew 2/4 recent gamesCombined DR 75% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (30.6%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.68
Melbourne City…
vs
1.34
St. Albans Sai…
Goal Probability
Melbourne C…
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
St. Albans …
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
CORRECT SCORES
3-0 (9%)3-1 (8%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (8%)4-0 (7%)4-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 98% 2% OVER
1.5 92% 8% OVER
2.5 78% 22% OVER
3.5 59% 41% -
4.5 40% 60% -
5.5 24% 76% UNDER
6.5 13% 87% UNDER
League Position
#7
Melbourne C…
+2
Gap
#9
St. Albans …
WR 0% 5 pts WR 50% 4 pts
Melbourne City… 10.0%
Mar 08 Melbour… v Oakleig… 1-1
Mar 01 Melbour… v Preston… 0-3
Feb 20 Melbour… v Dandeno… 2-4
Feb 15 Melbour… v Dandeno… 1-1
St. Albans Sai… 6.0%
Mar 07 St. Alb… v Altona … 0-1
Feb 27 St. Alb… v Oakleig… 1-3
Feb 20 St. Alb… v Preston… 3-0
Feb 14 St. Alb… v Dandeno… 0-0
Aug 23 St. Alb… v Hume Ci… 0-4
Aug 17 St. Alb… v Dandeno… 1-5
Aug 03 St. Alb… v Preston… 0-3
Jul 25 St. Alb… v Green G… 2-2
Jun 20 St. Alb… v Oakleig… 3-2
May 25 St. Alb… v Altona … 0-1
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
41%
Standings
38%
Market
46%
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
St. Albans Saints struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.