Super League · Mar 14, 2026 19:30

FC St. Gallen
PWR 35
3-1
predicted

FC Lugano
PWR 35
53% 23% 24%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
FC St. Gallen Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (19%)2-0 (15%)0-0 (12%)1-1 (10%)3-0 (8%)2-1 (8%)
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
Over 2.5
35%
Under 2.5 65%
65%
BTTS No
No 33%
Over 3.5
49%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
FC St. Gallen WDWDW
STABLE
FC Lugano LWLWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy56%
FORM_MOMENTUMHOME_STREAK
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (24.4%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
FC St. Gallen
vs
0.53
FC Lugano
Goal Probability
FC St. Gall…
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
FC Lugano
0
59%
1
31%
2
8%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (9%)1-1 (8%)2-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)1-0 (6%)3-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 97% 3% OVER
1.5 88% 12% OVER
2.5 70% 30% OVER
3.5 49% 51% -
4.5 30% 70% UNDER
5.5 16% 84% UNDER
6.5 8% 92% UNDER
League Position
#2
FC St. Gall…
+1
Gap
#3
FC Lugano
WR 60% 54 pts WR 36% 49 pts
FC St. Gallen 16.0%
Mar 08 FC St. … v FC Base… 3-0
Mar 05 FC St. … v FC Thun 2-2
Feb 28 FC St. … v FC Wint… 2-1
Feb 21 FC St. … v Servett… 1-1
Feb 18 FC St. … v FC Wint… 1-5
Feb 14 FC St. … v Grassho… 0-0
Feb 11 FC St. … v BSC You… 2-1
Feb 08 FC St. … v Lausanne 1-1
Feb 04 FC St. … v FC Base… 2-1
Feb 01 FC St. … v FC Luze… 2-2
FC Lugano 10.0%
Mar 07 FC Luga… v FC Luze… 1-3
Mar 04 FC Luga… v FC Sion 2-1
Mar 01 FC Luga… v Grassho… 1-0
Feb 22 FC Luga… v Lausanne 2-1
Feb 15 FC Luga… v FC Base… 1-1
Feb 11 FC Luga… v Servett… 1-1
Feb 07 FC Luga… v FC Wint… 1-1
Jan 31 FC Luga… v Grassho… 1-1
Jan 24 FC Luga… v FC Wint… 4-1
Jan 17 FC Luga… v FC Luze… 2-5
Head-to-Head (10)
Nov 26, 2025 FC Lugano 1-3 FC St. Gallen
Sep 13, 2025 FC St. Gallen 1-0 FC Lugano
Apr 13, 2025 FC Lugano 1-1 FC St. Gallen
Feb 05, 2025 FC St. Gallen 2-1 FC Lugano
Sep 01, 2024 FC Lugano 1-1 FC St. Gallen
May 04, 2024 FC Lugano 0-1 FC St. Gallen
Mar 09, 2024 FC St. Gallen 2-3 FC Lugano
Jan 28, 2024 FC St. Gallen 1-4 FC Lugano
Jul 29, 2023 FC Lugano 1-0 FC St. Gallen
Apr 26, 2023 FC St. Gallen 1-2 FC Lugano
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
81%
Standings
59%
Market
50%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
FC St. Gallen in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.