Premier League · Mar 14, 2026 15:00
Sunderland
PWR 35
Brighton & Hove Albion
PWR 36
Sunderland
PWR 35
2-1
predicted
Brighton & Hove Albion
PWR 36
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Sunderland Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (14%)1-0 (14%)3-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)1-1 (9%)0-0 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
49%
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS
No 42%
Over 3.5
13%
Team Comparison
34Attack43
68Defense60
Goals/G
1.11.4
Conc/G
1.11.3
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Sunderland
LWDLW
STABLE
Brighton & Hov…
LLDWL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 36% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateCombined DR 64% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (30.2%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.08
Sunderlandvs
0.65
Brighton & Hov…Goal Probability
Sunderland
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Brighton & …
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (15%)0-0 (15%)1-1 (14%)0-1 (13%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 85% | 15% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 57% | 43% | - |
| 2.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 96% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#11
Sunderland+3
Gap#14
Brighton & …
WR 50% 40 pts
WR 21% 37 pts
Sunderland
10.0%
| Mar 08 | Sunderl… v Port Va… | 1-0 |
| Mar 03 | Sunderl… v Leeds | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | Sunderl… v Bournem… | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Sunderl… v Fulham | 1-3 |
| Feb 15 | Sunderl… v Oxford … | 0-1 |
| Feb 11 | Sunderl… v Liverpo… | 0-1 |
| Feb 07 | Sunderl… v Arsenal | 3-0 |
| Feb 02 | Sunderl… v Burnley | 3-0 |
| Jan 24 | Sunderl… v West Br… | 3-1 |
| Jan 17 | Sunderl… v Crystal… | 2-1 |
Brighton & Hov…
6.0%
| Mar 07 | Brighto… v Stevena… | 0-1 |
| Mar 04 | Brighto… v Arsenal | 0-1 |
| Mar 03 | Brighto… v Exeter … | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Brighto… v Notting… | 2-1 |
| Feb 28 | Brighto… v Wycombe | 3-0 |
| Feb 24 | Brighto… v Stockpo… | 3-0 |
| Feb 21 | Brighto… v Bolton | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Brighto… v Brentfo… | 0-2 |
| Feb 17 | Brighto… v Rotherh… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Brighto… v Liverpo… | 3-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Dec 20, 2025 | Brighton & Ho… | 0-0 | Sunderland |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
86%
Standings
63%
Market
50%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Brighton & Hove Albion struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.