Roraimense · Mar 11, 2026 23:00
Progresso
PWR 35
Atlético Roraima
PWR 35
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Progresso
PWR 35
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Atlético Roraima Win
Score
1-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (22%)1-0 (20%)3-0 (16%)0-0 (9%)2-1 (4%)1-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
41%
Under 2.5
59%
BTTS
No
No 16%
Over 3.5
25%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Atlético Rorai…
DLLLL
STABLE
Progresso
LWLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 1/3 draws (33%) = HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (24.0%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.24
Atlético Rorai…vs
0.20
ProgressoGoal Probability
Atlético Ro…
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Progresso
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (13%)1-0 (12%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (9%)2-0 (8%)0-0 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 72% | 28% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 46% | 54% | - |
| 3.5 | 25% | 75% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#9
Atlético Ro…-3
Gap#6
Progresso
WR 0% 1 pts
WR 20% 3 pts
Atlético Rorai…
2.0%
| Feb 24 | Atlétic… v Náutico… | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | Atlétic… v São Rai… | 11-0 |
| Feb 14 | Atlétic… v Monte R… | 5-1 |
| Feb 07 | Atlétic… v GAS | 6-1 |
| Feb 04 | Atlétic… v Rio Neg… | 1-2 |
| Feb 01 | Atlétic… v Baré | 3-0 |
| Mar 24 | Atlétic… v São Rai… | 1-6 |
| Mar 15 | Atlétic… v GAS | 1-8 |
| Mar 11 | Atlétic… v Progres… | 0-0 |
| Mar 08 | Atlétic… v Monte R… | 3-0 |
Progresso
4.0%
| Mar 06 | Progres… v Rio Neg… | 0-7 |
| Feb 28 | Progres… v Rio Neg… | 3-1 |
| Feb 15 | Progres… v GAS | 0-3 |
| Feb 03 | Progres… v Monte R… | 1-2 |
| Jan 27 | Progres… v São Rai… | 5-0 |
| Mar 26 | Progres… v Baré | 0-7 |
| Mar 18 | Progres… v Monte R… | 0-2 |
| Mar 11 | Progres… v Atlétic… | 0-0 |
| Mar 07 | Progres… v São Rai… | 3-0 |
| Mar 04 | Progres… v Náutico… | 5-0 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Mar 11, 2025 | Progresso | 0-0 | Atlético Rora… |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Atlético Rora… | 1-0 | Progresso |
| May 02, 2023 | Progresso | 1-2 | Atlético Rora… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
44%
Market
50%
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Atlético Roraima struggling (4L in last 5)
Progresso struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.