Premier League · Mar 11, 2026 17:00
KCCA
PWR 35
Express
PWR 35
KCCA
PWR 35
3 - 0
FT
Express
PWR 35
53%
23%
24%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
KCCA Win
Score
4-0
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (17%)2-0 (14%)1-0 (7%)3-1 (3%)2-1 (3%)0-0 (2%)
CORRECT 3-0
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
58%
Under 2.5
42%
BTTS
No
No 18%
Over 3.5
12%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
KCCA
WWWLL
UP
Express
DDDDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy56%
FORM_DOMINANTPOINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)H2H: 3/9 draws (33%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 5/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskAway draws 60% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 70% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (31.7%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.73
KCCAvs
0.20
ExpressGoal Probability
KCCA
0
2%
1
9%
2
17%
3
21%
4
19%
Express
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (23%)2-0 (18%)0-0 (15%)3-0 (9%)1-1 (8%)2-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 85% | 15% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 56% | 44% | - |
| 2.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
KCCA+7
Gap#10
Express
WR 80% 39 pts
WR 0% 20 pts
KCCA
12.0%
| Mar 06 | KCCA v Police | 2-1 |
| Mar 02 | KCCA v Buhimba… | 0-2 |
| Feb 18 | KCCA v BUL | 2-1 |
| Feb 13 | KCCA v NEC | 3-1 |
| Jan 30 | KCCA v Entebbe… | 0-1 |
| Jan 27 | KCCA v UPDF | 4-0 |
| Jan 21 | KCCA v Maroons | 0-0 |
| Jan 06 | KCCA v Police | 2-0 |
| Dec 16 | KCCA v Buhimba… | 1-0 |
| Dec 12 | KCCA v NEC | 2-1 |
Express
10.0%
| Mar 07 | Express v SC Villa | 0-0 |
| Mar 04 | Express v Maroons | 1-1 |
| Feb 18 | Express v Calvary | 0-0 |
| Feb 14 | Express v Entebbe… | 0-0 |
| Jan 31 | Express v NEC | 0-0 |
| Jan 28 | Express v Kitara | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | Express v Buhimba… | 3-1 |
| Jan 08 | Express v SC Villa | 0-1 |
| Dec 17 | Express v Maroons | 4-0 |
| Dec 11 | Express v Entebbe… | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Oct 23, 2025 | Express | 0-1 | KCCA |
| May 24, 2025 | Express | 0-3 | KCCA |
| Dec 07, 2024 | KCCA | 0-1 | Express |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Express | 3-4 | KCCA |
| Oct 08, 2023 | KCCA | 1-2 | Express |
| May 13, 2023 | Express | 0-0 | KCCA |
| Dec 09, 2022 | KCCA | 3-0 | Express |
| Mar 03, 2022 | Express | 2-2 | KCCA |
| Dec 22, 2021 | KCCA | 0-0 | Express |
Decision Breakdown
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
74%
Market
50%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
KCCA in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.