Eredivisie · Mar 15, 2026 13:30
AZ Alkmaar
PWR 35
Heracles
PWR 35
AZ Alkmaar
PWR 35
4-1
predicted
Heracles
PWR 35
61%
22%
17%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
AZ Alkmaar Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
63%
TierGOLD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (9%)2-0 (6%)3-1 (6%)2-1 (4%)1-0 (3%)3-2 (2%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
BTTS
No 47%
Over 3.5
50%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
AZ Alkmaar
LWLWW
STABLE
Heracles
DLLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy73%
AWAY_LEAKINGPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 42% at home = very high riskElevated draw risk (20.6%) - consider AHElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got GOLD/3 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
AZ Alkmaarvs
0.64
HeraclesGoal Probability
AZ Alkmaar
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Heracles
0
53%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (11%)3-0 (11%)2-1 (8%)4-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)1-0 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 71% | 29% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 50% | 50% | - |
| 4.5 | 31% | 70% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
League Position
#6
AZ Alkmaar+12
Gap#18
Heracles
WR 42% 39 pts
WR 8% 18 pts
AZ Alkmaar
12.0%
| Mar 07 | AZ Alkm… v PSV Ein… | 2-1 |
| Mar 04 | AZ Alkm… v Telstar | 2-1 |
| Mar 01 | AZ Alkm… v Utrecht | 2-0 |
| Feb 26 | AZ Alkm… v Artsakh | 4-0 |
| Feb 22 | AZ Alkm… v Sparta … | 3-1 |
| Feb 19 | AZ Alkm… v Artsakh | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | AZ Alkm… v Excelsi… | 1-2 |
| Feb 08 | AZ Alkm… v Ajax | 1-1 |
| Feb 03 | AZ Alkm… v FC Twen… | 2-1 |
| Jan 31 | AZ Alkm… v NEC Nij… | 1-3 |
Heracles
2.0%
| Mar 06 | Heracles v Utrecht | 0-0 |
| Feb 28 | Heracles v PSV Ein… | 1-3 |
| Feb 22 | Heracles v GO Ahea… | 4-0 |
| Feb 14 | Heracles v NAC Bre… | 0-1 |
| Feb 07 | Heracles v NEC Nij… | 4-1 |
| Feb 01 | Heracles v Fortuna… | 2-1 |
| Jan 31 | Heracles v Bashkim… | 1-1 |
| Jan 28 | Heracles v Rudar | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Heracles v Feyenoo… | 4-2 |
| Jan 18 | Heracles v FC Twen… | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Sep 14, 2025 | Heracles | 1-2 | AZ Alkmaar |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Heracles | 1-0 | AZ Alkmaar |
| Feb 27, 2025 | Heracles | 2-2 | AZ Alkmaar |
| Dec 01, 2024 | AZ Alkmaar | 1-0 | Heracles |
| Apr 03, 2024 | Heracles | 5-0 | AZ Alkmaar |
Decision Breakdown
S70+DR<22 (82.1%)S75+DR<25 (81.8%)M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)M85+S60 (75.3%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
78%
Market
50%
Key Factors
AZ Alkmaar in strong form (3W in last 5)
Heracles struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.