FAW Championship · Mar 14, 2026 14:00
Caernarfon Town
PWR 55
Cardiff Draconians
PWR 53
PWR 53
1-1
predicted
Caernarfon Town
PWR 55
35%
27%
38%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-1 (7%)2-1 (5%)3-0 (5%)3-2 (5%)2-0 (4%)2-2 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
69%
69%
Under 2.5
31%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 72%
Over 3.5
67%
67%
Team Comparison
55Attack63
54Defense55
Goals/G
1.61.8
Conc/G
1.31.3
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Cardiff Dracon…
LWLWL
STABLE
Caernarfon Town
DWDWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): FAW Championship
Expected Goals (xG)
3.92
Cardiff Dracon…vs
1.33
Caernarfon TownGoal Probability
Cardiff Dra…
0
2%
1
8%
2
15%
3
20%
4
20%
Caernarfon …
0
26%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
CORRECT SCORES
2-2 (7%)2-1 (7%)1-2 (6%)3-2 (6%)1-1 (5%)3-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 84% | 16% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 67% | 33% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 49% | 52% | - |
| 5.5 | 31% | 69% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
League Position
#29
Cardiff Dra…-25
Gap#4
Caernarfon …
WR 48% 35 pts
WR 45% 139 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff Draco… | 23 | 11 | 2 | 10 | 36 | 30 | 35 |
| Caernarfon To… | 83 | 37 | 28 | 18 | 149 | 107 | 139 |
Cardiff Dracon…
8.0%
| Mar 06 | Cardiff… v Ammanfo… | 2-1 |
| Mar 04 | Cardiff… v Trefelin | 3-1 |
| Feb 21 | Cardiff… v Treowen… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Cardiff… v Baglan … | 3-1 |
| Jan 24 | Cardiff… v Aberyst… | 3-2 |
| Jan 16 | Cardiff… v Cwmbran… | 0-1 |
| Jan 10 | Cardiff… v Cambria… | 0-2 |
| Jan 02 | Cardiff… v Caerau … | 2-1 |
| Dec 26 | Cardiff… v Llantwi… | 2-0 |
| Dec 10 | Cardiff… v Newport… | 2-1 |
Caernarfon Town
16.0%
| Mar 08 | Caernar… v Rhyl | 0-0 |
| Mar 06 | Caernar… v Trethom… | 4-5 |
| Mar 01 | Caernar… v Newport… | 4-4 |
| Feb 27 | Caernar… v Colwyn … | 3-0 |
| Feb 21 | Caernar… v Caerau … | 3-4 |
| Feb 20 | Caernar… v The New… | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | Caernar… v Bala To… | 0-2 |
| Feb 13 | Caernar… v Trefelin | 0-2 |
| Feb 06 | Caernar… v GAP Con… | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Caernar… v Colwyn … | 4-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Aug 09, 2025 | Caernarfon To… | 2-1 | Cardiff Draco… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Caernarfon Town in strong form (3W in last 5)
Cardiff Draconians struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.