FAW Championship · Mar 14, 2026 14:30
Aberystwyth Town
PWR 49
Aberystwyth Town
PWR 49
2-1
predicted
Trethomas Bluebirds
PWR 44
PWR 44
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Aberystwyth Town to win (55% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (13%)3-0 (11%)1-0 (11%)2-1 (9%)3-1 (7%)1-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
BTTS
No 43%
Over 3.5
42%
Team Comparison
42Attack53
56Defense43
Goals/G
1.21.5
Conc/G
1.31.6
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Aberystwyth To…
LLLWW
DOWN
Trethomas Blue…
WLLLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): FAW Championship
Expected Goals (xG)
2.52
Aberystwyth To…vs
0.64
Trethomas Blue…Goal Probability
Aberystwyth…
0
8%
1
20%
2
26%
3
22%
4
14%
Trethomas B…
0
53%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (10%)2-1 (9%)1-0 (7%)2-0 (7%)1-2 (7%)2-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 84% | 16% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 64% | 36% | - |
| 3.5 | 42% | 58% | - |
| 4.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
League Position
#27
Aberystwyth…-7
Gap#20
Trethomas B…
WR 50% 39 pts
WR 36% 61 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aberystwyth T… | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 29 | 30 | 39 |
| Trethomas Blu… | 45 | 16 | 13 | 16 | 68 | 73 | 61 |
Aberystwyth To…
8.0%
| Mar 07 | Aberyst… v Trefelin | 4-0 |
| Mar 01 | Aberyst… v Caerau … | 0-4 |
| Feb 24 | Aberyst… v Ammanfo… | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | Aberyst… v Treowen… | 2-1 |
| Feb 07 | Aberyst… v Baglan … | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | Aberyst… v Newport… | 0-1 |
| Jan 24 | Aberyst… v Cardiff… | 3-2 |
| Jan 01 | Aberyst… v Caernar… | 1-1 |
| Dec 26 | Aberyst… v Pontypr… | 0-1 |
| Dec 20 | Aberyst… v Caerau … | 1-0 |
Trethomas Blue…
6.0%
| Mar 09 | Trethom… v Newport… | 1-0 |
| Mar 06 | Trethom… v Caernar… | 4-5 |
| Mar 01 | Trethom… v Cambria… | 4-2 |
| Feb 20 | Trethom… v Afan Li… | 1-0 |
| Feb 13 | Trethom… v Ammanfo… | 0-0 |
| Jan 30 | Trethom… v Cwmbran… | 2-0 |
| Jan 23 | Trethom… v Caerau … | 1-5 |
| Jan 09 | Trethom… v Trefelin | 3-1 |
| Dec 26 | Trethom… v Treowen… | 2-0 |
| Dec 20 | Trethom… v Baglan … | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Nov 01, 2025 | Trethomas Blu… | 2-3 | Aberystwyth T… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
92%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Aberystwyth Town struggling (3L in last 5)
Trethomas Bluebirds struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.