National League · Mar 14, 2026 15:00
Tamworth
PWR 30
Carlisle
PWR 42
Tamworth
PWR 30
1-1
predicted
Carlisle
PWR 42
37%
27%
36%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
42%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (10%)2-1 (9%)1-0 (7%)1-2 (7%)2-0 (7%)2-2 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
62%
62%
Under 2.5
38%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 64%
Over 3.5
65%
65%
Team Comparison
35Attack54
50Defense65
Goals/G
1.21.8
Conc/G
1.71.2
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Tamworth
LLLWW
DOWN
Carlisle
WDWLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): National League
Expected Goals (xG)
1.90
Tamworthvs
1.38
CarlisleGoal Probability
Tamworth
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Carlisle
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
CORRECT SCORES
2-2 (7%)1-2 (7%)2-1 (6%)1-1 (6%)2-3 (6%)1-3 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 82% | 18% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 65% | 35% | - |
| 4.5 | 46% | 54% | - |
| 5.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
League Position
#11
Tamworth-8
Gap#3
Carlisle
WR 39% 45 pts
WR 61% 75 pts
Tamworth
8.0%
| Mar 10 | Tamworth v Wealdst… | 3-2 |
| Mar 07 | Tamworth v Woking | 3-1 |
| Mar 03 | Tamworth v Yeovil … | 2-0 |
| Feb 28 | Tamworth v Boreham… | 3-2 |
| Feb 24 | Tamworth v Altrinc… | 5-1 |
| Feb 21 | Tamworth v Bolton | 0-0 |
| Feb 17 | Tamworth v West Ha… | 1-3 |
| Feb 14 | Tamworth v Aldersh… | 1-1 |
| Feb 10 | Tamworth v Morecam… | 2-2 |
| Feb 07 | Tamworth v Hartlep… | 1-1 |
Carlisle
14.0%
| Mar 10 | Carlisle v Aldersh… | 0-2 |
| Mar 07 | Carlisle v Southend | 2-2 |
| Feb 28 | Carlisle v Eastlei… | 1-2 |
| Feb 25 | Carlisle v Hartlep… | 3-1 |
| Feb 21 | Carlisle v Yeovil … | 3-0 |
| Feb 14 | Carlisle v Forest … | 1-3 |
| Feb 10 | Carlisle v Scuntho… | 3-2 |
| Feb 07 | Carlisle v Rochdale | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | Carlisle v Altrinc… | 3-1 |
| Jan 21 | Carlisle v York | 0-3 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Nov 29, 2025 | Carlisle | 2-1 | Tamworth |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
67%
Standings
34%
Market
50%
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Carlisle in strong form (3W in last 5)
Tamworth struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.