League Two · Mar 17, 2026 19:45
Accrington ST
PWR 37
Newport County AFC
PWR 26
Accrington ST
PWR 37
1-0
predicted
Newport County AFC
PWR 26
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: Accrington ST to win (82% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
82%
TierMASTER
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (22%)1-0 (18%)0-1 (16%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (7%)0-2 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
19%
Under 2.5
81%
81%
BTTS
No
No 28%
Over 3.5
12%
Team Comparison
36Attack31
68Defense42
Goals/G
1.21.0
Conc/G
1.11.9
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Accrington ST
DLLLW
STABLE
Newport County…
WLWLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): League Two
Expected Goals (xG)
0.79
Accrington STvs
0.71
Newport County…Goal Probability
Accrington …
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
Newport Cou…
0
49%
1
35%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (15%)0-0 (15%)1-1 (13%)0-1 (13%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 85% | 15% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 56% | 44% | - |
| 2.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#15
Accrington …+8
Gap#23
Newport Cou…
WR 44% 47 pts
WR 22% 28 pts
Accrington ST
6.0%
| Mar 07 | Accring… v Cambrid… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Accring… v Burnley | 2-1 |
| Feb 24 | Accring… v Barnet | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Accring… v Shrewsb… | 0-2 |
| Feb 17 | Accring… v Tranmer… | 0-1 |
| Feb 11 | Accring… v Grimsby | 1-0 |
| Feb 05 | Accring… v Watford | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | Accring… v Chelten… | 3-1 |
| Jan 27 | Accring… v Newport… | 1-4 |
| Jan 24 | Accring… v Walsall | 0-0 |
Newport County…
10.0%
| Mar 07 | Newport… v Walsall | 1-2 |
| Mar 07 | Newport… v Manches… | 1-2 |
| Mar 03 | Newport… v Tranmer… | 3-1 |
| Feb 28 | Newport… v Grimsby | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | Newport… v Fleetwo… | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | Newport… v Tranmer… | 5-0 |
| Feb 21 | Newport… v Cambrid… | 0-2 |
| Feb 17 | Newport… v Shrewsb… | 1-0 |
| Feb 17 | Newport… v Watford | 1-3 |
| Feb 14 | Newport… v Milton … | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jan 27, 2026 | Newport Count… | 1-4 | Accrington ST |
| Jan 01, 2026 | Newport Count… | 0-1 | Accrington ST |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Accrington ST | 0-1 | Newport Count… |
| Mar 11, 2025 | Accrington ST | 5-0 | Newport Count… |
| Mar 11, 2025 | Accrington ST | 5-0 | Newport Count… |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Accrington ST | 0-3 | Newport Count… |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Accrington ST | 0-3 | Newport Count… |
| Sep 07, 2024 | Newport Count… | 2-0 | Accrington ST |
| Sep 07, 2024 | Newport Count… | 2-0 | Accrington ST |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Newport Count… | 3-1 | Accrington ST |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
69%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Accrington ST struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.