Liga Premier Serie A · Mar 14, 2026 17:00
Mineros de Fresnillo
PWR 35
Leones Negros UDG
PWR 47
Mineros de Fresnillo
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Leones Negros UDG
PWR 47
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-1 (6%)3-0 (4%)3-2 (4%)2-1 (4%)2-0 (3%)2-2 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
65%
65%
Under 2.5
35%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 75%
Over 3.5
54%
Team Comparison
0Attack46
100Defense51
Goals/G
0.01.3
Conc/G
0.01.4
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Mineros de Fre…
LWLWD
STABLE
Leones Negros …
WLDWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
4.36
Mineros de Fre…vs
1.41
Leones Negros …Goal Probability
Mineros de …
0
1%
1
6%
2
12%
3
18%
4
19%
Leones Negr…
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (8%)1-1 (8%)2-2 (7%)1-2 (7%)3-1 (6%)3-2 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 74% | 26% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 54% | 47% | - |
| 4.5 | 34% | 66% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 19% | 81% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 10% | 91% | UNDER |
League Position
#15
Mineros de …-13
Gap#2
Leones Negr…
WR 25% 55 pts
WR 42% 108 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mineros de Fr… | 57 | 14 | 13 | 30 | 67 | 95 | 55 |
| Leones Negros… | 78 | 33 | 9 | 36 | 103 | 109 | 108 |
Mineros de Fre…
10.0%
| Mar 08 | Mineros… v Los Cab… | 3-2 |
| Feb 28 | Mineros… v Tigres … | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Mineros… v Tritons… | 2-0 |
| Feb 14 | Mineros… v Tecos | 3-2 |
| Feb 08 | Mineros… v Guerrer… | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Mineros… v UA Zaca… | 0-0 |
| Jan 24 | Mineros… v Cimarro… | 2-2 |
| Jan 18 | Mineros… v Ensenada | 0-3 |
| Jan 10 | Mineros… v Atlante… | 1-0 |
| Nov 22 | Mineros… v Durango | 1-6 |
Leones Negros …
14.0%
| Mar 07 | Leones … v Cimarro… | 2-1 |
| Mar 05 | Leones … v CA La P… | 3-0 |
| Mar 01 | Leones … v Atlante… | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Leones … v Ensenada | 1-4 |
| Feb 21 | Leones … v Atlante… | 3-0 |
| Feb 17 | Leones … v Durango | 1-0 |
| Feb 15 | Leones … v Tepatit… | 0-0 |
| Feb 08 | Leones … v Tlaxcala | 5-2 |
| Feb 07 | Leones … v Rebocer… | 3-1 |
| Jan 30 | Leones … v TapatĂo | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Oct 25, 2025 | Leones Negros… | 2-1 | Mineros de Fr… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Leones Negros UDG in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.