Liga MX · Mar 14, 2026 01:00
Puebla
PWR 35
Necaxa
PWR 35
Puebla
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Necaxa
PWR 35
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Puebla to win (95% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
95%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (9%)1-1 (8%)2-2 (7%)3-1 (7%)1-2 (6%)2-0 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.5x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.84x
Over 2.5
69%
69%
Under 2.5
31%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 69%
Over 3.5
21%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Puebla
LWWLL
STABLE
Necaxa
LLLLW
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk22%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.20
Pueblavs
1.52
NecaxaGoal Probability
Puebla
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Necaxa
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (13%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (10%)0-1 (10%)2-0 (9%)2-1 (9%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 67% | 33% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 41% | 59% | - |
| 3.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 9% | 92% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
Puebla+6
Gap#16
Necaxa
WR 40% 11 pts
WR 40% 9 pts
Puebla
8.0%
| Mar 08 | Puebla v Pachuca | 2-1 |
| Mar 05 | Puebla v Tigres … | 3-1 |
| Feb 28 | Puebla v Atletic… | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Puebla v Club Am… | 0-4 |
| Feb 14 | Puebla v U.N.A.M… | 2-3 |
| Feb 07 | Puebla v Club Ti… | 0-0 |
| Jan 31 | Puebla v Toluca | 0-0 |
| Jan 18 | Puebla v Cruz Az… | 1-0 |
| Jan 13 | Puebla v Mazatlá… | 2-1 |
| Jan 10 | Puebla v Atlas | 1-0 |
Necaxa
4.0%
| Mar 07 | Necaxa v U.N.A.M… | 0-1 |
| Mar 04 | Necaxa v Pachuca | 2-1 |
| Mar 01 | Necaxa v LeĂłn FC | 2-1 |
| Feb 22 | Necaxa v Toluca | 0-3 |
| Feb 15 | Necaxa v FC Juar… | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Necaxa v Atletic… | 4-1 |
| Jan 31 | Necaxa v Club Am… | 2-0 |
| Jan 17 | Necaxa v Atlas | 0-1 |
| Jan 14 | Necaxa v Monterr… | 0-2 |
| Jan 11 | Necaxa v Santos … | 1-3 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Sep 20, 2025 | Necaxa | 1-0 | Puebla |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Puebla | 0-1 | Necaxa |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
70%
Standings
59%
Market
48%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Puebla struggling (3L in last 5)
Necaxa struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.