Liga MX · Mar 14, 2026 23:07

Guadalajara Chivas
PWR 35
3-1
predicted

Santos Laguna
PWR 35
55% 23% 22%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
MEDIUM
Home Win
1X2 · ELITE tier, 86% conf, draw risk 20%
86%
accuracy
1.5x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Guadalajara Chivas Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
86%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (13%)2-0 (9%)1-0 (4%)3-1 (3%)2-1 (2%)1-1 (1%)
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
BTTS No
No 21%
Over 3.5 56%
56%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Guadalajara Ch… WLLWW
STABLE
Santos Laguna WLDLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 6 rules
DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy88%
FORM_MOMENTUMAWAY_LEAKINGFORM_DOMINANTPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPTABLE_EXTREMES
Standings data available (Tier 2)âś“ Passed (6 independent rules, 86% confidence)
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Guadalajara Ch…
vs
0.24
Santos Laguna
Goal Probability
Guadalajara…
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Santos Lagu…
0
79%
1
19%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
3-0 (11%)2-0 (10%)4-0 (9%)3-1 (8%)2-1 (7%)4-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 98% 2% OVER
1.5 91% 9% OVER
2.5 76% 24% OVER
3.5 56% 44% -
4.5 37% 64% -
5.5 21% 79% UNDER
6.5 11% 89% UNDER
League Position
#3
Guadalajara…
+15
Gap
#18
Santos Lagu…
WR 100% 21 pts WR 17% 5 pts
Guadalajara Ch… 12.0%
Mar 08 Guadala… v Atlas 1-2
Feb 28 Guadala… v Toluca 2-0
Feb 22 Guadala… v Cruz Az… 2-1
Feb 15 Guadala… v Club Am… 1-0
Feb 07 Guadala… v Mazatlá… 1-2
Jan 31 Guadala… v Atletic… 2-3
Jan 17 Guadala… v Queréta… 2-1
Jan 14 Guadala… v FC Juar… 0-1
Jan 10 Guadala… v Pachuca 2-0
Jan 04 Guadala… v Atlas 0-0
Santos Laguna 6.0%
Mar 09 Santos … v Club Ti… 1-2
Mar 04 Santos … v Cruz Az… 1-2
Feb 28 Santos … v Queréta… 2-2
Feb 22 Santos … v León FC 2-1
Feb 15 Santos … v Mazatlá… 1-2
Feb 07 Santos … v Tigres … 5-1
Jan 31 Santos … v U.N.A.M… 4-0
Jan 18 Santos … v FC Juar… 2-2
Jan 15 Santos … v Toluca 3-1
Jan 11 Santos … v Necaxa 1-3
Head-to-Head (1)
Aug 11, 2025 Santos Laguna 1-0 Guadalajara C…
Decision Breakdown
CS68+S65 (82.8%)S70+DR<22 (82.1%)S75+DR<25 (81.8%)M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)CS68+S70+DR<25 (80.0%)GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)CS68+M80 (75.0%)HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
93%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Guadalajara Chivas in strong form (3W in last 5)
Santos Laguna struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.