Liga MX · Mar 15, 2026 01:00
Toluca
PWR 35
Atlas
PWR 35
Toluca
PWR 35
4-1
predicted
Atlas
PWR 35
57%
23%
20%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Toluca Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
37%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (15%)2-0 (12%)1-0 (6%)3-1 (4%)2-1 (3%)1-1 (2%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
BTTS
No
No 23%
Over 3.5
40%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Toluca
LWWWW
STABLE
Atlas
LWLWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy38%
FORM_MOMENTUM
Standings data available (Tier 2)H2H: 1/3 draws (33%) = HIGH riskElevated draw risk (21.3%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got SKIP/1 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
3.93
Tolucavs
0.27
AtlasGoal Probability
Toluca
0
2%
1
8%
2
15%
3
20%
4
20%
Atlas
0
76%
1
21%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (13%)3-0 (10%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)3-1 (8%)1-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 83% | 17% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 62% | 38% | - |
| 3.5 | 40% | 60% | - |
| 4.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 11% | 90% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 96% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Toluca+5
Gap#7
Atlas
WR 80% 24 pts
WR 25% 16 pts
Toluca
16.0%
| Mar 12 | Toluca v San Die… | 3-2 |
| Mar 08 | Toluca v FC Juar… | 3-1 |
| Mar 04 | Toluca v U.N.A.M… | 2-3 |
| Feb 28 | Toluca v Guadala… | 2-0 |
| Feb 22 | Toluca v Necaxa | 0-3 |
| Feb 14 | Toluca v Club Ti… | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Toluca v Cruz Az… | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Toluca v Puebla | 0-0 |
| Jan 18 | Toluca v Tigres … | 0-0 |
| Jan 15 | Toluca v Santos … | 3-1 |
Atlas
8.0%
| Mar 08 | Atlas v Guadala… | 1-2 |
| Mar 05 | Atlas v Club Ti… | 2-1 |
| Feb 28 | Atlas v FC Juar… | 3-1 |
| Feb 21 | Atlas v Atletic… | 3-2 |
| Feb 14 | Atlas v Pachuca | 3-1 |
| Feb 08 | Atlas v U.N.A.M… | 2-2 |
| Jan 31 | Atlas v Mazatlá… | 1-0 |
| Jan 17 | Atlas v Necaxa | 0-1 |
| Jan 14 | Atlas v Cruz Az… | 2-0 |
| Jan 10 | Atlas v Puebla | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Nov 01, 2025 | Atlas | 0-0 | Toluca |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Atlas | 2-3 | Toluca |
| Apr 07, 2024 | Toluca | 4-1 | Atlas |
Decision Breakdown
S70+DR<22 (82.1%)M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
70%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Toluca in strong form (4W in last 5)
Atlas struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.