Primera A · Mar 19, 2026 23:20
Deportes Tolima
PWR 35
Fortaleza FC
PWR 35
Deportes Tolima
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Fortaleza FC
PWR 35
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (18%)2-0 (18%)3-0 (12%)0-0 (9%)1-1 (8%)2-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
41%
Under 2.5
59%
BTTS
No
No 30%
Over 3.5
9%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Deportes Tolima
LWWLL
STABLE
Fortaleza FC
WWDDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Primera A
Expected Goals (xG)
1.97
Deportes Tolimavs
0.42
Fortaleza FCGoal Probability
Deportes To…
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Fortaleza FC
0
66%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (19%)0-0 (18%)1-1 (13%)0-1 (12%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 82% | 18% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 51% | 49% | - |
| 2.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
Deportes To…+3
Gap#11
Fortaleza FC
WR 75% 15 pts
WR 0% 14 pts
Deportes Tolima
8.0%
| Mar 12 | Deporte… v O'Higgi… | 2-0 |
| Mar 05 | Deporte… v O'Higgi… | 1-0 |
| Mar 02 | Deporte… v Atlétic… | 1-0 |
| Feb 27 | Deporte… v Deporti… | 0-1 |
| Feb 23 | Deporte… v Cúcuta … | 3-2 |
| Feb 20 | Deporte… v Deporti… | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Deporte… v Once Ca… | 2-1 |
| Feb 11 | Deporte… v Bucaram… | 0-0 |
| Feb 07 | Deporte… v Llaneros | 0-1 |
| Feb 02 | Deporte… v La Equi… | 0-0 |
Fortaleza FC
12.0%
| Mar 10 | Fortale… v Llanero… | 0-2 |
| Mar 05 | Fortale… v Jaguares | 2-1 |
| Mar 01 | Fortale… v Deporti… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Fortale… v Once Ca… | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | Fortale… v Once Ca… | 4-2 |
| Feb 16 | Fortale… v Chico | 2-1 |
| Feb 13 | Fortale… v Atlétic… | 4-1 |
| Feb 12 | Fortale… v Atlétic… | 3-0 |
| Feb 07 | Fortale… v Santa Fe | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Fortale… v Cúcuta … | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Dec 08, 2025 | Deportes Toli… | 1-0 | Fortaleza FC |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Fortaleza FC | 0-1 | Deportes Toli… |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Deportes Toli… | 1-1 | Fortaleza FC |
Decision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
87%
Standings
77%
Market
50%
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Deportes Tolima struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.