Azerbaijan Premier League · Mar 14, 2026 11:00
Mil-Muğan
PWR 35
1-4
predicted

Sabah FA
PWR 35
31% 28% 41%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Sabah FA Win
Score
1-4
Confidence
42%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-1 (17%)1-1 (12%)0-0 (12%)0-2 (11%)1-0 (9%)1-2 (8%)
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
2.92x
DC X2 87%
Away/Draw
1.2x
Over 2.5
35%
Under 2.5 65%
65%
BTTS
No 39%
Over 3.5
14%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Mil-Muğan DDDLD
STABLE
Sabah FA WDDWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUMAWAY_POINTS_GAP
Full data available (Tier 1)Home team draws 64% at home = very high riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 4/5 recent gamesCombined DR 91% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (28.8%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74
Mil-Muğan
vs
1.38
Sabah FA
Goal Probability
Mil-Muğan
0
48%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
Sabah FA
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (20%)0-0 (14%)0-2 (14%)1-1 (11%)1-0 (8%)1-2 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 86% 14% OVER
1.5 58% 42% -
2.5 31% 69% UNDER
3.5 14% 86% UNDER
4.5 5% 95% UNDER
5.5 2% 99% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
League Position
#9
Mil-Muğan
-8
Gap
#1
Sabah FA
WR 0% 22 pts WR 73% 56 pts
Mil-Muğan 8.0%
Mar 08 Mil-Muğ… v Şamaxı 0-0
Mar 01 Mil-Muğ… v Turan T… 0-0
Feb 22 Mil-Muğ… v Şamaxı 0-0
Feb 14 Mil-Muğ… v Qarabağ… 0-1
Feb 09 Mil-Muğ… v Kəpəz 0-0
Jan 30 Mil-Muğ… v Qabala 3-2
Jan 23 Mil-Muğ… v Araz 2-2
Dec 20 Mil-Muğ… v Zira 0-0
Dec 15 Mil-Muğ… v Karvan 1-1
Dec 09 Mil-Muğ… v Sumqayıt 1-0
Sabah FA 16.0%
Mar 10 Sabah FA v Qabala 7-1
Mar 05 Sabah FA v Qabala 2-2
Mar 01 Sabah FA v Qarabağ… 3-3
Feb 22 Sabah FA v Kəpəz 1-0
Feb 16 Sabah FA v Qabala 0-1
Feb 08 Sabah FA v Araz 4-1
Feb 04 Sabah FA v Qabala 0-0
Jan 31 Sabah FA v Zira 1-3
Jan 25 Sabah FA v Karvan 4-1
Dec 22 Sabah FA v Sumqayıt 1-3
Head-to-Head (3)
Dec 03, 2025 Mil-Muğan 1-2 Sabah FA
Nov 29, 2025 Mil-Muğan 0-3 Sabah FA
Aug 31, 2025 Sabah FA 0-1 Mil-Muğan
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
41%
Standings
34%
Market
35%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Sabah FA in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.