Azerbaijan Premier League · Mar 13, 2026 14:30
Araz
PWR 35
PWR 35
2-1
predicted
Karvan
PWR 35
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Araz Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
37%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (34%)1-0 (30%)2-0 (13%)0-1 (7%)1-1 (6%)3-0 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
10%
Under 2.5
90%
90%
BTTS
No
No 11%
Over 3.5
24%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Araz
LLWWL
DOWN
Karvan
LDWLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk22%
Accuracy38%
POINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Away team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskElevated draw risk (22.1%) - consider AHElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got SKIP/1 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88
Arazvs
0.20
KarvanGoal Probability
Araz
0
42%
1
37%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
Karvan
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (13%)1-0 (12%)0-1 (9%)2-1 (9%)2-0 (8%)0-0 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 71% | 29% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 45% | 55% | - |
| 3.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#5
Araz+7
Gap#12
Karvan
WR 55% 33 pts
WR 9% 8 pts
Araz
8.0%
| Mar 08 | Araz v Qarabağ… | 6-0 |
| Feb 27 | Araz v Zira | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Araz v Karvan | 0-2 |
| Feb 15 | Araz v Sumqayıt | 1-0 |
| Feb 08 | Araz v Sabah FA | 4-1 |
| Feb 01 | Araz v Neftchi… | 0-4 |
| Jan 23 | Araz v Mil-Muğ… | 2-2 |
| Dec 21 | Araz v Şamaxı | 2-0 |
| Dec 14 | Araz v Qarabağ… | 5-1 |
| Dec 09 | Araz v Kəpəz | 2-0 |
Karvan
8.0%
| Mar 08 | Karvan v Pardubi… | 1-2 |
| Mar 07 | Karvan v Sumqayıt | 1-1 |
| Mar 05 | Karvan v Plzen | 3-0 |
| Mar 01 | Karvan v Slovácko | 0-2 |
| Feb 28 | Karvan v Qabala | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Karvan v Araz | 0-2 |
| Feb 21 | Karvan v FK Jabl… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Karvan v Zira | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Karvan v Slavia … | 1-3 |
| Feb 09 | Karvan v Turan T… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Feb 21, 2026 | Karvan | 0-2 | Araz |
| Nov 08, 2025 | Araz | 2-1 | Karvan |
Decision Breakdown
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
70%
Standings
74%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Araz struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.