Azerbaijan Premier League · Mar 14, 2026 15:15
Zira
PWR 35
Qarabağ FK
PWR 35
Zira
PWR 35
2-3
predicted
Qarabağ FK
PWR 35
57%
23%
20%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Zira Win
Score
2-3
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (8%)3-1 (6%)2-0 (6%)2-1 (4%)1-0 (3%)3-2 (2%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
BTTS
No 49%
Over 3.5
77%
77%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Zira
DWWWW
STABLE
Qarabağ FK
WWDLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy56%
FORM_MOMENTUMAWAY_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 50% at home = very high riskCombined DR 61% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (26.0%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Ziravs
0.69
Qarabağ FKGoal Probability
Zira
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Qarabağ FK
0
50%
1
35%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
3-1 (7%)4-1 (7%)3-0 (6%)4-0 (6%)5-1 (6%)2-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 100% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 90% | 11% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 77% | 23% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 60% | 40% | - |
| 5.5 | 43% | 57% | - |
| 6.5 | 28% | 73% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Zira-2
Gap#2
Qarabağ FK
WR 42% 39 pts
WR 78% 49 pts
Zira
18.0%
| Mar 09 | Zira v Kəpəz | 2-2 |
| Mar 03 | Zira v Sumqayıt | 2-0 |
| Mar 01 | Zira v Master 7 | 4-2 |
| Feb 27 | Zira v Araz | 0-1 |
| Feb 25 | Zira v Salavan… | 1-2 |
| Feb 21 | Zira v Lao Army | 0-3 |
| Feb 20 | Zira v Turan T… | 2-0 |
| Feb 14 | Zira v Karvan | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Zira v Viengch… | 2-2 |
| Feb 08 | Zira v Savanna… | 11-0 |
Qarabağ FK
10.0%
| Mar 08 | Qarabağ… v Araz | 6-0 |
| Mar 04 | Qarabağ… v Şamaxı | 3-1 |
| Mar 01 | Qarabağ… v Sabah FA | 3-3 |
| Feb 24 | Qarabağ… v Newcast… | 3-2 |
| Feb 18 | Qarabağ… v Newcast… | 1-6 |
| Feb 14 | Qarabağ… v Mil-Muğ… | 0-1 |
| Feb 10 | Qarabağ… v Şamaxı | 1-2 |
| Feb 05 | Qarabağ… v Şamaxı | 2-1 |
| Feb 01 | Qarabağ… v Turan T… | 1-0 |
| Jan 28 | Qarabağ… v Liverpo… | 6-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Dec 06, 2025 | Zira | 1-1 | Qarabağ FK |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Qarabağ FK | 1-1 | Zira |
| Apr 06, 2025 | Qarabağ FK | 1-0 | Zira |
| Feb 02, 2025 | Zira | 3-2 | Qarabağ FK |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Qarabağ FK | 4-0 | Zira |
| Sep 01, 2024 | Zira | 1-3 | Qarabağ FK |
| Jun 02, 2024 | Qarabağ FK | 2-1 | Zira |
| May 11, 2024 | Zira | 0-1 | Qarabağ FK |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Qarabağ FK | 3-1 | Zira |
| Dec 24, 2023 | Zira | 0-1 | Qarabağ FK |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
46%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Zira in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.