Azerbaijan Premier League · Mar 13, 2026 16:30
Sumqayıt
PWR 35
Şamaxı
PWR 35
Sumqayıt
PWR 35
2-1
predicted
Şamaxı
PWR 35
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Sumqayıt Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (19%)1-0 (16%)0-1 (16%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (7%)0-2 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.44x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.83x
Over 2.5
23%
Under 2.5
77%
77%
BTTS
No
No 31%
Over 3.5
10%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Sumqayıt
DLLDL
STABLE
Şamaxı
DLDDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk36%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateH2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 4/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesAway draws 45% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 64% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (36.0%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
Sumqayıtvs
0.81
ŞamaxıGoal Probability
Sumqayıt
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Şamaxı
0
45%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (18%)1-0 (16%)0-1 (15%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (7%)0-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 82% | 18% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 52% | 48% | - |
| 2.5 | 25% | 75% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#6
Sumqayıt+2
Gap#8
Şamaxı
WR 36% 32 pts
WR 27% 27 pts
Sumqayıt
4.0%
| Mar 07 | Sumqayıt v Karvan | 1-1 |
| Mar 03 | Sumqayıt v Zira | 2-0 |
| Feb 27 | Sumqayıt v Kəpəz | 3-0 |
| Feb 20 | Sumqayıt v Qabala | 0-0 |
| Feb 15 | Sumqayıt v Araz | 1-0 |
| Feb 08 | Sumqayıt v Zira | 2-3 |
| Feb 04 | Sumqayıt v Zira | 0-0 |
| Jan 30 | Sumqayıt v Karvan | 0-2 |
| Jan 25 | Sumqayıt v Turan T… | 2-1 |
| Dec 22 | Sumqayıt v Sabah FA | 1-3 |
Şamaxı
8.0%
| Mar 08 | Şamaxı v Mil-Muğ… | 0-0 |
| Mar 04 | Şamaxı v Qarabağ… | 3-1 |
| Feb 28 | Şamaxı v Neftchi… | 2-2 |
| Feb 22 | Şamaxı v Mil-Muğ… | 0-0 |
| Feb 16 | Şamaxı v Turan T… | 0-0 |
| Feb 10 | Şamaxı v Qarabağ… | 1-2 |
| Feb 05 | Şamaxı v Qarabağ… | 2-1 |
| Jan 31 | Şamaxı v Kəpəz | 0-2 |
| Jan 24 | Şamaxı v Qabala | 0-4 |
| Dec 21 | Şamaxı v Araz | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Nov 30, 2025 | Şamaxı | 1-2 | Sumqayıt |
| Aug 29, 2025 | Sumqayıt | 1-1 | Şamaxı |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Sumqayıt | 1-2 | Şamaxı |
| Feb 09, 2025 | Şamaxı | 1-0 | Sumqayıt |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Sumqayıt | 2-1 | Şamaxı |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Şamaxı | 1-0 | Sumqayıt |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Şamaxı | 0-0 | Sumqayıt |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Sumqayıt | 1-0 | Şamaxı |
| Nov 11, 2022 | Şamaxı | 4-2 | Sumqayıt |
| Sep 11, 2022 | Sumqayıt | 1-1 | Şamaxı |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
56%
Market
48%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Sumqayıt struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.