Azerbaijan Premier League · Mar 15, 2026 14:00
Qabala
PWR 35
Neftchi Baku
PWR 35
Qabala
PWR 35
1-2
predicted
Neftchi Baku
PWR 35
29%
28%
43%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Neftchi Baku Win
Score
1-2
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-2 (9%)1-3 (8%)1-1 (7%)0-2 (6%)2-2 (6%)0-3 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
71%
71%
Under 2.5
29%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 69%
Over 3.5
30%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Qabala
LLDDL
DOWN
Neftchi Baku
LDWWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
HOME_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (25.8%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Qabalavs
2.63
Neftchi BakuGoal Probability
Qabala
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Neftchi Baku
0
7%
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (12%)0-2 (12%)1-1 (10%)1-2 (10%)0-3 (8%)1-3 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 77% | 24% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 53% | 47% | - |
| 3.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#11
Qabala-4
Gap#7
Neftchi Baku
WR 27% 16 pts
WR 46% 31 pts
Qabala
4.0%
| Mar 10 | Qabala v Sabah FA | 7-1 |
| Mar 05 | Qabala v Åžimal | 3-4 |
| Mar 05 | Qabala v Sabah FA | 2-2 |
| Feb 28 | Qabala v Karvan | 1-1 |
| Feb 25 | Qabala v ÅžahdaÄŸ | 1-0 |
| Feb 24 | Qabala v Turan T… | 0-3 |
| Feb 20 | Qabala v Sumqayıt | 0-0 |
| Feb 19 | Qabala v Difai A… | 2-1 |
| Feb 16 | Qabala v Sabah FA | 0-1 |
| Feb 13 | Qabala v Energet… | 0-0 |
Neftchi Baku
14.0%
| Mar 09 | Neftchi… v Turan T… | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | Neftchi… v Şamaxı | 2-2 |
| Feb 15 | Neftchi… v Kəpəz | 1-3 |
| Feb 10 | Neftchi… v Qabala | 1-0 |
| Feb 01 | Neftchi… v Araz | 0-4 |
| Jan 23 | Neftchi… v Zira | 0-0 |
| Dec 20 | Neftchi… v Karvan | 1-2 |
| Dec 15 | Neftchi… v Sumqayıt | 2-2 |
| Dec 08 | Neftchi… v Sabah FA | 2-0 |
| Dec 02 | Neftchi… v Zira | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 10, 2026 | Neftchi Baku | 1-0 | Qabala |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Qabala | 0-2 | Neftchi Baku |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Qabala | 0-1 | Neftchi Baku |
| Jan 28, 2024 | Neftchi Baku | 3-1 | Qabala |
| Nov 05, 2023 | Qabala | 0-2 | Neftchi Baku |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Neftchi Baku | 2-0 | Qabala |
| Jun 03, 2023 | Neftchi Baku | 0-1 | Qabala |
| Apr 14, 2023 | Neftchi Baku | 1-2 | Qabala |
| Feb 10, 2023 | Qabala | 0-0 | Neftchi Baku |
| Nov 12, 2022 | Neftchi Baku | 2-0 | Qabala |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
35%
Standings
42%
Market
50%
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Neftchi Baku in strong form (3W in last 5)
Qabala struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.