Ligue 1 · Mar 13, 2026 16:00
Douanes
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Réal du Faso
PWR 35
49% 24% 27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Douanes Win
Score
1-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (22%)1-0 (20%)3-0 (16%)0-0 (9%)2-1 (4%)1-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5 60%
60%
BTTS No
No 16%
Over 3.5
3%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Douanes DDDWD
STABLE
Réal du Faso DDLWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk37%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 80% at home = very high riskBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateH2H: 2/5 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 4/5 recent gamesCombined DR 116% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (37.4%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.16
Douanes
vs
0.20
Réal du Faso
Goal Probability
Douanes
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4
11%
Réal du Faso
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (33%)1-0 (19%)0-1 (17%)1-1 (10%)2-0 (6%)0-2 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 67% 33% OVER
1.5 30% 70% UNDER
2.5 10% 90% UNDER
3.5 3% 97% UNDER
4.5 1% 100% UNDER
5.5 0% 100% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
League Position
#6
Douanes
+6
Gap
#12
Réal du Faso
WR 10% 30 pts WR 18% 25 pts
Douanes 12.0%
Mar 10 Douanes v Sportin… 0-0
Feb 28 Douanes v ASFB 0-0
Feb 20 Douanes v RC Bobo… 0-0
Feb 17 Douanes v RCK 1-3
Feb 07 Douanes v Majesti… 1-1
Feb 01 Douanes v USFA 2-2
Jan 27 Douanes v Rahimo 1-2
Dec 29 Douanes v Rahimo 2-0
Dec 19 Douanes v USFA 2-1
Dec 11 Douanes v Majesti… 3-0
Réal du Faso 8.0%
Mar 09 Réal du… v USFA 0-0
Feb 27 Réal du… v Majesti… 0-0
Feb 20 Réal du… v CFFEB 4-0
Feb 17 Réal du… v Salitas… 1-0
Feb 05 Réal du… v SONABEL 1-0
Jan 31 Réal du… v Sportin… 2-0
Jan 26 Réal du… v AJEB 1-0
Dec 26 Réal du… v AJEB 0-0
Dec 18 Réal du… v Sportin… 1-0
Dec 13 Réal du… v SONABEL 1-2
Head-to-Head (5)
Nov 07, 2025 Réal du Faso 2-3 Douanes
Feb 22, 2025 Réal du Faso 0-4 Douanes
Dec 02, 2024 Douanes 0-0 Réal du Faso
Jan 29, 2023 Douanes 0-0 Réal du Faso
Dec 10, 2022 Réal du Faso 0-1 Douanes
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
93%
Standings
57%
Market
50%
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.