Liga Portugal 2 · Mar 13, 2026 18:00
Farense
PWR 35
Felgueiras 1932
PWR 35
Farense
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Felgueiras 1932
PWR 35
55%
23%
22%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (15%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (11%)2-0 (10%)0-1 (9%)2-1 (9%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.51x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.75x
Over 2.5
38%
Under 2.5
62%
62%
BTTS
No 43%
Over 3.5
3%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Farense
DWLLW
STABLE
Felgueiras 1932
LDDLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskAway draws 50% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 67% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Farensevs
0.87
Felgueiras 1932Goal Probability
Farense
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Felgueiras …
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (31%)1-0 (20%)0-1 (16%)1-1 (11%)2-0 (7%)0-2 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 69% | 31% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#15
Farense-1
Gap#14
Felgueiras …
WR 25% 28 pts
WR 8% 29 pts
Farense
10.0%
| Mar 07 | Farense v Penafie… | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Farense v Lusitân… | 2-1 |
| Feb 22 | Farense v Chaves | 2-0 |
| Feb 14 | Farense v Leixões… | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Farense v MarĂtimo | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | Farense v FC Port… | 2-3 |
| Jan 25 | Farense v Moreire… | 2-1 |
| Jan 17 | Farense v Moreire… | 0-0 |
| Jan 03 | Farense v Portimo… | 0-1 |
| Dec 28 | Farense v Pacos F… | 0-0 |
Felgueiras 1932
4.0%
| Mar 08 | Felguei… v Vizela | 0-1 |
| Mar 02 | Felguei… v Moreire… | 0-0 |
| Feb 22 | Felguei… v Penafie… | 0-0 |
| Feb 14 | Felguei… v Benfica… | 4-2 |
| Feb 07 | Felguei… v Lusitân… | 2-1 |
| Jan 31 | Felguei… v Chaves | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | Felguei… v MarĂtimo | 1-1 |
| Jan 17 | Felguei… v Leixões… | 0-1 |
| Jan 11 | Felguei… v Portimo… | 0-0 |
| Jan 03 | Felguei… v Moreire… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Nov 16, 2025 | Felgueiras 19… | 1-1 | Farense |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
66%
Standings
48%
Market
45%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Felgueiras 1932 struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.