Liga Portugal 2 · Mar 16, 2026 20:15
Moreirense
PWR 45
Portimonense
PWR 35
Moreirense
PWR 45
1-0
predicted
Portimonense
PWR 35
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Moreirense to win (95% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
95%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
0-1 (12%)0-2 (12%)1-1 (10%)1-2 (10%)0-3 (8%)1-3 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
51%
Under 2.5
49%
BTTS
No 47%
Over 3.5
11%
Team Comparison
43Attack0
54Defense100
Goals/G
1.20.0
Conc/G
1.30.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Moreirense
LLDDD
DOWN
Portimonense
LLLLD
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk22%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityHome team drew 3/5 recent games
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78
Moreirensevs
2.00
PortimonenseGoal Probability
Moreirense
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
Portimonense
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (18%)0-0 (17%)1-1 (13%)1-0 (11%)0-2 (10%)1-2 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 84% | 17% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 54% | 46% | - |
| 2.5 | 27% | 73% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Moreirense+13
Gap#14
Portimonense
WR 36% 352 pts
WR 21% 42 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moreirense | 263 | 94 | 70 | 99 | 320 | 346 | 352 |
| Portimonense | 48 | 10 | 12 | 26 | 46 | 76 | 42 |
Moreirense
6.0%
| Mar 09 | Moreire… v Benfica… | 3-0 |
| Mar 07 | Moreire… v Moreire… | 0-3 |
| Mar 07 | Moreire… v Nacional | 1-1 |
| Mar 02 | Moreire… v Felguei… | 0-0 |
| Mar 01 | Moreire… v Casa Pi… | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Moreire… v Pacos F… | 0-0 |
| Feb 28 | Moreire… v FC Port… | 0-3 |
| Feb 22 | Moreire… v Lusitân… | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Moreire… v União d… | 2-4 |
| Feb 21 | Moreire… v Benfica… | 1-0 |
Portimonense
2.0%
| Mar 07 | Portimo… v Pacos F… | 2-3 |
| Feb 28 | Portimo… v União d… | 1-0 |
| Feb 22 | Portimo… v Académi… | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Portimo… v Sportin… | 4-3 |
| Feb 09 | Portimo… v Benfica… | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Portimo… v Vizela | 1-1 |
| Jan 25 | Portimo… v Moreire… | 0-1 |
| Jan 17 | Portimo… v Penafie… | 0-2 |
| Jan 11 | Portimo… v Felguei… | 0-0 |
| Jan 03 | Portimo… v Farense | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jan 25, 2026 | Portimonense | 0-1 | Moreirense |
| Nov 08, 2025 | Portimonense | 1-1 | Moreirense |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Portimonense | 0-1 | Moreirense |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Moreirense | 4-1 | Portimonense |
| Mar 14, 2025 | Portimonense | 1-2 | Moreirense |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Moreirense | 1-1 | Portimonense |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Portimonense | 0-2 | Moreirense |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Portimonense | 0-2 | Moreirense |
| Dec 17, 2023 | Moreirense | 5-2 | Portimonense |
| Dec 17, 2023 | Moreirense | 5-2 | Portimonense |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
35%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Portimonense struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.