Ekstraklasa · Mar 14, 2026 13:45
Jagiellonia
PWR 35
Piast Gliwice
PWR 35
Jagiellonia
PWR 35
4-1
predicted
Piast Gliwice
PWR 35
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Jagiellonia Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
50%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-1 (8%)2-1 (8%)3-0 (7%)2-0 (7%)1-1 (5%)1-0 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
70%
70%
Under 2.5
30%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 64%
Over 3.5
35%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Jagiellonia
LDWDL
STABLE
Piast Gliwice
LWLLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk22%
Accuracy56%
POSITION_GAPTABLE_EXTREMES
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team drew 2/5 recent gamesElevated draw risk (21.5%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got STANDARD/2 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
3.07
Jagielloniavs
1.12
Piast GliwiceGoal Probability
Jagiellonia
0
5%
1
14%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
Piast Gliwi…
0
33%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (10%)2-1 (10%)1-0 (10%)2-0 (9%)3-1 (6%)3-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 80% | 20% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 58% | 42% | - |
| 3.5 | 35% | 65% | - |
| 4.5 | 19% | 82% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Jagiellonia+12
Gap#14
Piast Gliwi…
WR 60% 38 pts
WR 33% 29 pts
Jagiellonia
8.0%
| Mar 06 | Jagiell… v Lechia … | 3-0 |
| Mar 01 | Jagiell… v Legia W… | 2-2 |
| Feb 26 | Jagiell… v Fiorent… | 2-4 |
| Feb 22 | Jagiell… v Radomia… | 1-1 |
| Feb 19 | Jagiell… v Fiorent… | 0-3 |
| Feb 14 | Jagiell… v Cracovi… | 0-0 |
| Feb 07 | Jagiell… v Motor L… | 4-1 |
| Jan 31 | Jagiell… v Widzew … | 1-3 |
| Jan 19 | Jagiell… v CSKA 19… | 1-1 |
| Dec 18 | Jagiell… v AZ Alkm… | 0-0 |
Piast Gliwice
8.0%
| Mar 07 | Piast G… v Zaglebi… | 1-3 |
| Feb 27 | Piast G… v Cracovi… | 2-3 |
| Feb 20 | Piast G… v Motor L… | 1-2 |
| Feb 15 | Piast G… v Lech Po… | 3-0 |
| Feb 09 | Piast G… v Wisla P… | 1-0 |
| Feb 03 | Piast G… v Lech Po… | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | Piast G… v Gornik … | 2-1 |
| Jan 10 | Piast G… v Sigma O… | 2-0 |
| Dec 14 | Piast G… v Legia W… | 0-1 |
| Dec 06 | Piast G… v Legia W… | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Sep 13, 2025 | Piast Gliwice | 1-1 | Jagiellonia |
| May 18, 2024 | Piast Gliwice | 1-1 | Jagiellonia |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
93%
Standings
88%
Market
50%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Piast Gliwice struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.