I Liga · Mar 14, 2026 18:30
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
PWR 35
Legia Warszawa
PWR 49
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Legia Warszawa
PWR 49
37%
27%
36%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (9%)1-1 (8%)2-2 (7%)3-1 (6%)1-2 (6%)2-0 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
69%
69%
Under 2.5
31%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 70%
Over 3.5
35%
Team Comparison
0Attack54
100Defense50
Goals/G
0.01.5
Conc/G
0.01.4
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Pogoń Grod. Ma…
LWDDD
STABLE
Legia Warszawa
LWWDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): I liga
Expected Goals (xG)
2.16
Pogoń Grod. Ma…vs
1.54
Legia WarszawaGoal Probability
Pogoń Grod.…
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4
11%
Legia Warsz…
0
21%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (10%)0-2 (10%)1-1 (10%)1-2 (10%)0-3 (7%)1-3 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 80% | 20% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 58% | 43% | - |
| 3.5 | 35% | 65% | - |
| 4.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#15
Pogoń Grod.…-7
Gap#8
Legia Warsz…
WR 42% 39 pts
WR 42% 62 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pogoń Grod. M… | 24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 41 | 33 | 39 |
| Legia Warszawa | 41 | 17 | 11 | 13 | 63 | 58 | 62 |
Pogoń Grod. Ma…
10.0%
| Mar 07 | Pogoń G… v Chrobry… | 3-0 |
| Feb 28 | Pogoń G… v Polonia… | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Pogoń G… v Znicz P… | 0-0 |
| Feb 15 | Pogoń G… v Wisla K… | 1-1 |
| Feb 07 | Pogoń G… v Miedź L… | 1-1 |
| Jan 21 | Pogoń G… v Stal Rz… | 1-1 |
| Dec 06 | Pogoń G… v Puszcza… | 1-1 |
| Dec 01 | Pogoń G… v Stal Rz… | 1-0 |
| Nov 21 | Pogoń G… v Śląsk W… | 2-2 |
| Nov 14 | Pogoń G… v Jagiell… | 5-1 |
Legia Warszawa
14.0%
| Mar 09 | Legia W… v ŁKS Łódź | 0-1 |
| Mar 08 | Legia W… v Cracovi… | 1-0 |
| Mar 02 | Legia W… v Wisla K… | 1-2 |
| Mar 01 | Legia W… v Jagiell… | 2-2 |
| Feb 21 | Legia W… v Wisla P… | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Legia W… v Ruch Ch… | 2-3 |
| Feb 14 | Legia W… v Znicz P… | 0-0 |
| Feb 13 | Legia W… v GKS Kat… | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Legia W… v Stal Mi… | 5-2 |
| Feb 07 | Legia W… v Arka Gd… | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Aug 30, 2025 | Legia Warszawa | 2-1 | Pogoń Grod. M… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
69%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Legia Warszawa in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.