Eerste Divisie · Mar 13, 2026 19:00
Utrecht
PWR 32
Helmond Sport
PWR 35
Utrecht
PWR 32
1-1
predicted
Helmond Sport
PWR 35
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (15%)2-0 (13%)1-0 (7%)3-1 (5%)2-1 (4%)1-1 (2%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.39x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.15x
Over 2.5
60%
Under 2.5
40%
BTTS
No
No 29%
Over 3.5
29%
Team Comparison
41Attack0
33Defense100
Goals/G
1.20.0
Conc/G
1.90.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Utrecht
LDLWL
STABLE
Helmond Sport
DLLWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Eerste Divisie
Expected Goals (xG)
3.57
Utrechtvs
0.35
Helmond SportGoal Probability
Utrecht
0
3%
1
10%
2
18%
3
21%
4
19%
Helmond Spo…
0
71%
1
25%
2
4%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (13%)1-0 (13%)2-1 (9%)1-1 (9%)3-0 (9%)0-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 76% | 25% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 51% | 49% | - |
| 3.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#17
Utrecht-6
Gap#11
Helmond Spo…
WR 20% 91 pts
WR 31% 151 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utrecht | 112 | 22 | 25 | 65 | 130 | 215 | 91 |
| Helmond Sport | 128 | 40 | 31 | 57 | 150 | 208 | 151 |
Utrecht
6.0%
| Mar 08 | Utrecht v Cambuur | 1-0 |
| Mar 06 | Utrecht v Heracles | 0-0 |
| Mar 02 | Utrecht v Emmen | 1-0 |
| Mar 01 | Utrecht v AZ Alkm… | 2-0 |
| Feb 27 | Utrecht v Almere … | 2-3 |
| Feb 22 | Utrecht v PEC Zwo… | 1-1 |
| Feb 20 | Utrecht v De Graa… | 1-0 |
| Feb 16 | Utrecht v Willem … | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Utrecht v Groning… | 1-2 |
| Feb 11 | Utrecht v NEC Nij… | 1-3 |
Helmond Sport
10.0%
| Mar 06 | Helmond… v FC OSS | 1-1 |
| Feb 27 | Helmond… v Jong AZ | 5-1 |
| Feb 20 | Helmond… v ADO Den… | 1-3 |
| Feb 13 | Helmond… v Almere … | 0-1 |
| Feb 06 | Helmond… v Den Bos… | 2-0 |
| Feb 03 | Helmond… v Dordrec… | 3-0 |
| Jan 31 | Helmond… v De Graa… | 0-0 |
| Jan 26 | Helmond… v Jong PSV | 4-0 |
| Jan 16 | Helmond… v Vitesse | 2-2 |
| Dec 21 | Helmond… v Willem … | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Sep 16, 2025 | Helmond Sport | 2-1 | Utrecht |
| Mar 21, 2024 | Utrecht | 3-0 | Helmond Sport |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
56%
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Utrecht struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.