Eerste Divisie · Mar 13, 2026 19:00
Waalwijk
PWR 35
Jong AZ
PWR 35
Waalwijk
PWR 35
2 - 0
FT
Jong AZ
PWR 35
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Waalwijk to win (95% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
95%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (18%)0-0 (17%)1-1 (13%)0-1 (12%)2-0 (9%)2-1 (7%)
WRONG 2-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
27%
Under 2.5
73%
73%
BTTS
No
No 34%
Over 3.5
48%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Waalwijk
WWDLL
STABLE
Jong AZ
LLWLD
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Eerste Divisie
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Waalwijkvs
0.73
Jong AZGoal Probability
Waalwijk
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Jong AZ
0
48%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (9%)2-0 (8%)1-1 (8%)3-1 (8%)1-0 (7%)3-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 70% | 30% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 49% | 52% | - |
| 4.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
League Position
#7
Waalwijk+11
Gap#18
Jong AZ
WR 44% 47 pts
WR 44% 30 pts
Waalwijk
10.0%
| Mar 06 | Waalwijk v VVV Ven… | 0-3 |
| Feb 27 | Waalwijk v PSV Ein… | 2-1 |
| Feb 20 | Waalwijk v Cambuur | 1-1 |
| Feb 13 | Waalwijk v Roda | 1-2 |
| Feb 08 | Waalwijk v Willem … | 2-1 |
| Jan 30 | Waalwijk v FC OSS | 2-0 |
| Jan 26 | Waalwijk v Utrecht | 2-2 |
| Jan 23 | Waalwijk v De Graa… | 2-4 |
| Jan 18 | Waalwijk v Dordrec… | 1-1 |
| Jan 15 | Waalwijk v Heerenv… | 3-1 |
Jong AZ
6.0%
| Mar 09 | Jong AZ v Emmen | 2-3 |
| Mar 06 | Jong AZ v PSV Ein… | 2-1 |
| Feb 27 | Jong AZ v Helmond… | 5-1 |
| Feb 27 | Jong AZ v Vitesse | 2-0 |
| Feb 23 | Jong AZ v Den Bos… | 2-2 |
| Feb 23 | Jong AZ v Emmen | 0-0 |
| Feb 20 | Jong AZ v Dordrec… | 0-1 |
| Feb 16 | Jong AZ v Cambuur | 1-2 |
| Feb 13 | Jong AZ v FC OSS | 0-3 |
| Feb 09 | Jong AZ v Dordrec… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Dec 22, 2025 | Jong AZ | 0-2 | Waalwijk |
| Sep 29, 2025 | Waalwijk | 2-1 | Jong AZ |
| Aug 11, 2025 | Jong AZ | 2-3 | Waalwijk |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
64%
Standings
67%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Jong AZ struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.