Eerste Divisie · Mar 13, 2026 19:00
Vitesse
PWR 35
Almere City
PWR 35
Vitesse
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Almere City
PWR 35
53%
23%
24%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-1 (7%)2-1 (7%)3-2 (6%)2-2 (6%)1-1 (5%)3-0 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.69x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.67x
Over 2.5
75%
75%
Under 2.5
25%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 76%
Over 3.5
60%
60%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Vitesse
WWLDW
STABLE
Almere City
WLWLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Eerste Divisie
Expected Goals (xG)
3.05
Vitessevs
1.60
Almere CityGoal Probability
Vitesse
0
5%
1
14%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
Almere City
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)2-2 (6%)1-1 (6%)3-2 (6%)2-0 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 79% | 21% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 60% | 40% | - |
| 4.5 | 41% | 59% | - |
| 5.5 | 25% | 76% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
League Position
#17
Vitesse-10
Gap#7
Almere City
WR 40% 30 pts
WR 40% 45 pts
Vitesse
14.0%
| Mar 08 | Vitesse v De Graa… | 1-4 |
| Feb 27 | Vitesse v Jong AZ | 2-0 |
| Feb 20 | Vitesse v Willem … | 3-0 |
| Feb 14 | Vitesse v VVV Ven… | 2-2 |
| Feb 06 | Vitesse v FC OSS | 1-2 |
| Feb 02 | Vitesse v PSV Ein… | 1-1 |
| Jan 30 | Vitesse v Dordrec… | 1-2 |
| Jan 26 | Vitesse v ADO Den… | 0-0 |
| Jan 23 | Vitesse v ADO Den… | 2-1 |
| Jan 16 | Vitesse v Helmond… | 2-2 |
Almere City
8.0%
| Mar 07 | Almere … v ADO Den… | 1-0 |
| Mar 03 | Almere … v Cambuur | 3-2 |
| Feb 27 | Almere … v Utrecht | 2-3 |
| Feb 21 | Almere … v PSV Ein… | 3-2 |
| Feb 13 | Almere … v Helmond… | 0-1 |
| Feb 02 | Almere … v MVV Maa… | 1-1 |
| Jan 30 | Almere … v Roda | 1-2 |
| Jan 26 | Almere … v Jong AZ | 3-4 |
| Jan 18 | Almere … v De Graa… | 2-0 |
| Jan 14 | Almere … v Telstar | 1-3 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Oct 10, 2025 | Almere City | 2-2 | Vitesse |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Vitesse | 1-1 | Almere City |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Vitesse | 1-1 | Almere City |
| Dec 17, 2023 | Almere City | 5-0 | Vitesse |
| Dec 17, 2023 | Almere City | 5-0 | Vitesse |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
86%
Standings
30%
Market
42%
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Vitesse in strong form (3W in last 5)
Almere City struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.