Segunda División · Mar 15, 2026 20:00
Sporting Gijón
PWR 35
Castellón
PWR 41
Sporting Gijón
PWR 35
2-2
predicted
Castellón
PWR 41
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Sporting Gijón Win
Score
2-2
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (11%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)2-0 (9%)0-1 (7%)1-2 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
52%
Under 2.5
48%
BTTS
Yes 54%
Over 3.5
35%
Team Comparison
41Attack48
60Defense69
Goals/G
1.41.6
Conc/G
1.31.0
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Sporting Gijón
LDDDW
STABLE
Castellón
LLDWW
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 33% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesCombined DR 67% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (32.4%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Sporting Gijónvs
1.09
CastellónGoal Probability
Sporting Gi…
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
Castellón
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (11%)1-2 (10%)0-1 (9%)0-2 (8%)2-1 (7%)1-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 80% | 20% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 58% | 43% | - |
| 3.5 | 35% | 65% | - |
| 4.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#9
Sporting Gi…-6
Gap#3
Castellón
WR 47% 42 pts
WR 33% 49 pts
Sporting Gijón
10.0%
| Mar 08 | Sportin… v FC Ando… | 1-0 |
| Mar 02 | Sportin… v Levante | 0-0 |
| Feb 22 | Sportin… v Vallado… | 2-2 |
| Feb 15 | Sportin… v Albacete | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Sportin… v Huesca | 2-1 |
| Feb 01 | Sportin… v Eibar | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | Sportin… v Mirandes | 3-0 |
| Jan 17 | Sportin… v Cultura… | 2-4 |
| Jan 09 | Sportin… v Cadiz | 3-2 |
| Jan 04 | Sportin… v Malaga | 1-3 |
Castellón
10.0%
| Mar 07 | Castell… v Real So… | 4-2 |
| Feb 28 | Castell… v Santand… | 1-3 |
| Feb 21 | Castell… v Las Pal… | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Castell… v Deporti… | 2-0 |
| Feb 08 | Castell… v Vallado… | 0-4 |
| Feb 01 | Castell… v FC Ando… | 2-0 |
| Jan 25 | Castell… v Zaragoza | 0-0 |
| Jan 16 | Castell… v Levante | 2-0 |
| Jan 11 | Castell… v Granada | 0-0 |
| Jan 03 | Castell… v Huesca | 4-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Oct 05, 2025 | Castellón | 3-1 | Sporting Gijón |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
68%
Standings
38%
Market
50%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.