Ligue 2 · Mar 13, 2026 19:00
Pau FC
PWR 34
Clermont
PWR 40
PWR 40
1-1
predicted
Pau FC
PWR 34
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-2 (6%)3-1 (6%)2-2 (6%)2-1 (6%)3-3 (4%)2-3 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.61x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.67x
Over 2.5
78%
78%
Under 2.5
22%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 83%
Over 3.5
65%
65%
Team Comparison
39Attack43
55Defense53
Goals/G
1.11.4
Conc/G
1.31.6
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Clermont
LWWLL
STABLE
Pau FC
DLLLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityWR diff only 3% = 35.1% draw rateH2H: 2/3 draws (67%) = VERY HIGH risk
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.0
Expected Goals (xG)
3.06
Clermontvs
2.03
Pau FCGoal Probability
Clermont
0
5%
1
14%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
Pau FC
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (7%)3-1 (7%)2-2 (7%)3-2 (6%)1-1 (6%)1-2 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 82% | 18% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 65% | 35% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 46% | 54% | - |
| 5.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 17% | 84% | UNDER |
League Position
#14
Clermont-9
Gap#5
Pau FC
WR 26% 62 pts
WR 29% 119 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clermont | 58 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 64 | 75 | 62 |
| Pau FC | 100 | 29 | 32 | 39 | 132 | 157 | 119 |
Clermont
8.0%
| Mar 07 | Clermont v Estac T… | 2-1 |
| Feb 27 | Clermont v Dunkerq… | 2-1 |
| Feb 20 | Clermont v Boulogne | 0-2 |
| Feb 13 | Clermont v Rodez | 1-2 |
| Feb 09 | Clermont v Amiens | 4-3 |
| Jan 30 | Clermont v Reims | 0-1 |
| Jan 23 | Clermont v Annecy | 2-1 |
| Jan 17 | Clermont v St Etie… | 1-0 |
| Jan 03 | Clermont v Laval | 4-1 |
| Dec 12 | Clermont v Annecy | 1-0 |
Pau FC
6.0%
| Mar 06 | Pau FC v Bastia | 2-2 |
| Feb 28 | Pau FC v St Etie… | 0-3 |
| Feb 21 | Pau FC v Estac T… | 4-3 |
| Feb 13 | Pau FC v Boulogne | 1-2 |
| Feb 06 | Pau FC v Red Star | 0-3 |
| Jan 30 | Pau FC v Laval | 0-1 |
| Jan 23 | Pau FC v Grenoble | 2-2 |
| Jan 16 | Pau FC v Dunkerq… | 3-1 |
| Jan 03 | Pau FC v Rodez | 3-3 |
| Dec 12 | Pau FC v Amiens | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Oct 03, 2025 | Pau FC | 3-1 | Clermont |
| Apr 11, 2025 | Pau FC | 2-2 | Clermont |
| Aug 16, 2024 | Clermont | 2-2 | Pau FC |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
80%
Standings
50%
Market
42%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Clermont struggling (3L in last 5)
Pau FC struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.