Ligue 2 · Mar 13, 2026 19:00
Bastia
PWR 28
Boulogne
PWR 32
Bastia
PWR 28
1-1
predicted
Boulogne
PWR 32
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Bastia Win
Score
1-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (33%)0-1 (27%)0-2 (11%)1-0 (10%)1-1 (8%)1-2 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.39x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.92x
Over 2.5
10%
Under 2.5
90%
90%
BTTS
No
No 14%
Over 3.5
7%
Team Comparison
17Attack37
64Defense53
Goals/G
0.61.2
Conc/G
1.21.6
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Bastia
DLDDD
STABLE
Boulogne
WDLWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Home team draws 31% at home = very high riskBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateHome team drew 4/5 recent gamesCombined DR 69% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (32.7%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Bastiavs
0.81
BoulogneGoal Probability
Bastia
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Boulogne
0
45%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (21%)1-0 (17%)0-1 (16%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (7%)0-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 79% | 21% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 46% | 54% | - |
| 2.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#18
Bastia-6
Gap#12
Boulogne
WR 15% 19 pts
WR 31% 30 pts
Bastia
8.0%
| Mar 06 | Bastia v Pau FC | 2-2 |
| Feb 27 | Bastia v Annecy | 0-2 |
| Feb 20 | Bastia v Dunkerq… | 1-1 |
| Feb 16 | Bastia v Estac T… | 0-0 |
| Feb 06 | Bastia v Reims | 0-0 |
| Jan 30 | Bastia v Annecy | 0-0 |
| Jan 23 | Bastia v Montpel… | 0-2 |
| Jan 16 | Bastia v Laval | 0-2 |
| Jan 10 | Bastia v Estac T… | 0-2 |
| Jan 03 | Bastia v Grenoble | 1-0 |
Boulogne
10.0%
| Mar 06 | Boulogne v Amiens | 4-2 |
| Feb 27 | Boulogne v Grenoble | 0-0 |
| Feb 20 | Boulogne v Clermont | 0-2 |
| Feb 13 | Boulogne v Pau FC | 1-2 |
| Feb 06 | Boulogne v Rodez | 1-2 |
| Jan 31 | Boulogne v St Etie… | 0-1 |
| Jan 24 | Boulogne v Red Star | 2-2 |
| Jan 16 | Boulogne v Montpel… | 1-0 |
| Jan 03 | Boulogne v Guingamp | 3-0 |
| Dec 15 | Boulogne v Estac T… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Sep 16, 2025 | Boulogne | 1-0 | Bastia |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
44%
Standings
38%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.