La Liga · Mar 14, 2026 20:00
Real Madrid
PWR 49
Elche
PWR 34
Real Madrid
PWR 49
4-1
predicted
Elche
PWR 34
59%
22%
19%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Real Madrid Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
82%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (10%)2-0 (7%)3-1 (5%)2-1 (4%)1-0 (3%)1-1 (2%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
58%
Under 2.5
42%
BTTS
No 41%
Over 3.5
64%
64%
Team Comparison
64Attack41
75Defense56
Goals/G
2.11.4
Conc/G
0.81.5
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Real Madrid
WWLWL
STABLE
Elche
LDLDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy88%
FORM_MOMENTUMAWAY_LEAKINGPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPTABLE_EXTREMES
Standings data available (Tier 2)Away team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (27.0%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Real Madridvs
0.53
ElcheGoal Probability
Real Madrid
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Elche
0
59%
1
31%
2
8%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
3-0 (9%)3-1 (8%)4-0 (8%)2-0 (7%)4-1 (7%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 94% | 7% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 82% | 18% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 64% | 36% | - |
| 4.5 | 45% | 55% | - |
| 5.5 | 28% | 72% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Real Madrid+15
Gap#17
Elche
WR 85% 63 pts
WR 0% 26 pts
Real Madrid
12.0%
| Mar 11 | Real Ma… v Manches… | 3-0 |
| Mar 06 | Real Ma… v Celta d… | 1-2 |
| Mar 02 | Real Ma… v Getafe | 0-1 |
| Feb 25 | Real Ma… v Benfica | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Real Ma… v Osasuna | 2-1 |
| Feb 17 | Real Ma… v Benfica | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Real Ma… v Real So… | 4-1 |
| Feb 08 | Real Ma… v Valencia | 0-2 |
| Feb 01 | Real Ma… v Rayo Va… | 2-1 |
| Jan 28 | Real Ma… v Benfica | 4-2 |
Elche
4.0%
| Mar 08 | Elche v Villarr… | 2-1 |
| Mar 01 | Elche v Espanyol | 2-2 |
| Feb 20 | Elche v Athleti… | 2-1 |
| Feb 13 | Elche v Osasuna | 0-0 |
| Feb 07 | Elche v Real So… | 3-1 |
| Jan 31 | Elche v FC Barc… | 1-3 |
| Jan 23 | Elche v Levante | 3-2 |
| Jan 19 | Elche v Sevilla | 2-2 |
| Jan 14 | Elche v Real Be… | 2-1 |
| Jan 10 | Elche v Valencia | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Nov 23, 2025 | Elche | 2-2 | Real Madrid |
Decision Breakdown
CS68+S65 (82.8%)S75+DR<25 (81.8%)CS68+S70+DR<25 (80.0%)GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)CS68+M80 (75.0%)HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
93%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Real Madrid in strong form (3W in last 5)
Elche struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.