La Liga · Mar 15, 2026 17:30
Real Betis
PWR 39
Celta de Vigo
PWR 38
Real Betis
PWR 39
1-1
predicted
Celta de Vigo
PWR 38
37%
27%
36%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (10%)2-1 (9%)1-2 (8%)1-0 (7%)2-2 (7%)2-0 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
62%
62%
Under 2.5
38%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 64%
Over 3.5
30%
Team Comparison
49Attack40
62Defense69
Goals/G
1.61.3
Conc/G
1.31.0
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Real Betis
LDDWW
STABLE
Celta de Vigo
LWWWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 62% = 50.7% draw rateElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.77
Real Betisvs
1.50
Celta de VigoGoal Probability
Real Betis
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Celta de Vi…
0
22%
1
34%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)0-1 (10%)1-2 (9%)1-0 (8%)0-2 (8%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 76% | 24% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 52% | 48% | - |
| 3.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 15% | 86% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#5
Real Betis+1
Gap#6
Celta de Vi…
WR 54% 43 pts
WR 46% 40 pts
Real Betis
12.0%
| Mar 08 | Real Be… v Getafe | 2-0 |
| Mar 01 | Real Be… v Sevilla | 2-2 |
| Feb 21 | Real Be… v Rayo Va… | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Real Be… v Mallorca | 1-2 |
| Feb 08 | Real Be… v Atlétic… | 0-1 |
| Feb 05 | Real Be… v Atlétic… | 0-5 |
| Feb 01 | Real Be… v Valencia | 2-1 |
| Jan 29 | Real Be… v Feyenoo… | 2-1 |
| Jan 25 | Real Be… v Alavés | 2-1 |
| Jan 22 | Real Be… v PAOK | 2-0 |
Celta de Vigo
16.0%
| Mar 06 | Celta d… v Real Ma… | 1-2 |
| Mar 01 | Celta d… v Girona | 1-2 |
| Feb 26 | Celta d… v PAOK | 1-0 |
| Feb 22 | Celta d… v Mallorca | 2-0 |
| Feb 19 | Celta d… v PAOK | 1-2 |
| Feb 14 | Celta d… v Espanyol | 2-2 |
| Feb 06 | Celta d… v Osasuna | 1-2 |
| Feb 01 | Celta d… v Getafe | 0-0 |
| Jan 29 | Celta d… v FK Crve… | 1-1 |
| Jan 25 | Celta d… v Real So… | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Aug 27, 2025 | Celta de Vigo | 1-1 | Real Betis |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
54%
Market
50%
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Celta de Vigo in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.