Back Stats
Primera Nacional · Mar 15, 2026 21:00

Midland
PWR 35
1-0
predicted

Almagro
PWR 35
51% 24% 25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Midland to win (95% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
95%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (28%)0-0 (25%)2-0 (16%)1-1 (8%)0-1 (7%)3-0 (6%)
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
Over 2.5
16%
Under 2.5 84%
84%
BTTS No
No 16%
Over 3.5
2%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Midland WDLDL
STABLE
Almagro LLDLD
DOWN
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League has >30% draw rate
High draw league: Primera Nacional
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Midland
vs
0.27
Almagro
Goal Probability
Midland
0
33%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Almagro
0
76%
1
21%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (35%)1-0 (22%)0-1 (15%)1-1 (9%)2-0 (7%)0-2 (3%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 65% 35% -
1.5 28% 72% UNDER
2.5 9% 91% UNDER
3.5 2% 98% UNDER
4.5 0% 100% UNDER
5.5 0% 100% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
League Position
#7
Midland
+11
Gap
#18
Almagro
WR 100% 4 pts WR 0% 1 pts
Midland 8.0%
Mar 01 Midland v Colegia… 2-0
Feb 21 Midland v Quilmes 0-0
Feb 16 Midland v Gimnasi… 2-1
Jan 22 Midland v Argenti… 1-1
Feb 26 Midland v Vélez S… 1-0
Mar 22 Midland v Newell’… 2-0
Almagro 4.0%
Feb 28 Almagro v Gimnasi… 2-0
Feb 21 Almagro v San Mar… 0-1
Feb 14 Almagro v Atletic… 0-0
Oct 04 Almagro v Club At… 0-1
Sep 28 Almagro v Patrona… 0-0
Sep 20 Almagro v Ferro C… 0-1
Sep 14 Almagro v Los And… 1-0
Sep 05 Almagro v San Mig… 1-1
Aug 31 Almagro v Quilmes 2-2
Aug 24 Almagro v Racing … 1-1
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
78%
Standings
87%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Almagro struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.