Championship · Mar 13, 2026 20:00
Wrexham
PWR 37
Swansea
PWR 34
Wrexham
PWR 37
1-0
predicted
Swansea
PWR 34
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Wrexham to win (58% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
58%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)1-1 (6%)2-2 (6%)2-0 (6%)3-2 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.47x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.85x
Over 2.5
72%
72%
Under 2.5
28%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 72%
Over 3.5
45%
Team Comparison
44Attack34
63Defense63
Goals/G
1.51.1
Conc/G
1.21.2
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Wrexham
LLWWW
DOWN
Swansea
WWLDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityHome team draws 32% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.0
Expected Goals (xG)
2.64
Wrexhamvs
1.47
SwanseaGoal Probability
Wrexham
0
7%
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
Swansea
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
5%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (10%)1-2 (8%)2-1 (8%)2-2 (7%)0-1 (6%)1-0 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 67% | 33% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 45% | 55% | - |
| 4.5 | 26% | 74% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 14% | 87% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
League Position
#6
Wrexham+5
Gap#11
Swansea
WR 42% 57 pts
WR 28% 52 pts
Wrexham
12.0%
| Mar 10 | Wrexham v Hull Ci… | 1-2 |
| Mar 07 | Wrexham v Chelsea | 2-4 |
| Feb 28 | Wrexham v Charlton | 0-1 |
| Feb 24 | Wrexham v Portsmo… | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Wrexham v Ipswich | 5-3 |
| Feb 17 | Wrexham v Bristol… | 2-2 |
| Feb 13 | Wrexham v Ipswich | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Wrexham v Millwall | 0-2 |
| Jan 31 | Wrexham v Sheffie… | 0-1 |
| Jan 24 | Wrexham v QPR | 2-3 |
Swansea
14.0%
| Mar 10 | Swansea v Portsmo… | 1-2 |
| Mar 07 | Swansea v Stoke C… | 2-0 |
| Feb 28 | Swansea v Ipswich | 3-0 |
| Feb 24 | Swansea v Preston | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Swansea v Bristol… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Swansea v Derby | 2-0 |
| Feb 08 | Swansea v Sheffie… | 4-0 |
| Jan 31 | Swansea v Watford | 0-2 |
| Jan 24 | Swansea v Hull Ci… | 2-1 |
| Jan 20 | Swansea v Blackbu… | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Dec 19, 2025 | Swansea | 2-1 | Wrexham |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
82%
Standings
62%
Market
48%
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Wrexham in strong form (3W in last 5)
Swansea in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.