Championship · Mar 16, 2026 20:00
Portsmouth FC
PWR 31
Derby
PWR 37
Portsmouth FC
PWR 31
1-2
predicted
Derby
PWR 37
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Derby Win
Score
1-2
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (12%)1-0 (9%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (8%)1-2 (8%)2-0 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
51%
Under 2.5
49%
BTTS
Yes 56%
Over 3.5
34%
Team Comparison
29Attack44
60Defense63
Goals/G
1.01.5
Conc/G
1.31.2
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Portsmouth FC
LDLLW
STABLE
Derby
LWWLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_POSITION_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)H2H: 7/9 draws (78%) = VERY HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (24.2%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Portsmouth FCvs
1.32
DerbyGoal Probability
Portsmouth …
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
Derby
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (11%)2-1 (9%)1-0 (8%)1-2 (8%)0-1 (7%)2-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 79% | 21% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 56% | 44% | - |
| 3.5 | 34% | 66% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#19
Portsmouth …-11
Gap#8
Derby
WR 33% 40 pts
WR 44% 54 pts
Portsmouth FC
6.0%
| Mar 10 | Portsmo… v Swansea | 1-2 |
| Mar 07 | Portsmo… v Blackbu… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Portsmo… v Hull Ci… | 0-1 |
| Feb 24 | Portsmo… v Wrexham | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Portsmo… v Millwall | 1-3 |
| Feb 17 | Portsmo… v Charlton | 1-3 |
| Feb 14 | Portsmo… v Sheffie… | 0-1 |
| Feb 07 | Portsmo… v Preston | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | Portsmo… v West Br… | 3-0 |
| Jan 25 | Portsmo… v Southam… | 1-1 |
Derby
8.0%
| Mar 10 | Derby v Millwall | 1-0 |
| Mar 07 | Derby v Sheffie… | 2-1 |
| Feb 28 | Derby v Blackbu… | 3-1 |
| Feb 24 | Derby v Hull Ci… | 4-2 |
| Feb 21 | Derby v Watford | 2-0 |
| Feb 14 | Derby v Swansea | 2-0 |
| Feb 07 | Derby v Ipswich | 1-2 |
| Jan 30 | Derby v Bristol… | 0-5 |
| Jan 23 | Derby v West Br… | 1-1 |
| Jan 20 | Derby v Charlton | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Dec 20, 2025 | Derby | 1-1 | Portsmouth FC |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Portsmouth FC | 2-2 | Derby |
| Dec 13, 2024 | Derby | 4-0 | Portsmouth FC |
| Dec 13, 2024 | Derby | 4-0 | Portsmouth FC |
| Apr 02, 2024 | Portsmouth FC | 2-2 | Derby |
| Apr 02, 2024 | Portsmouth FC | 2-2 | Derby |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Derby | 1-1 | Portsmouth FC |
| Apr 29, 2023 | Derby | 1-1 | Portsmouth FC |
| Nov 18, 2022 | Portsmouth FC | 0-0 | Derby |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
30%
Market
50%
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Portsmouth FC struggling (3L in last 5)
Derby struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.