Primeira Liga · Mar 15, 2026 15:30
Sporting CP
PWR 35
Tondela
PWR 35
Sporting CP
PWR 35
6-1
predicted
Tondela
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Sporting CP Win
Score
6-1
Confidence
63%
TierGOLD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (18%)1-0 (16%)3-0 (14%)0-0 (7%)2-1 (7%)1-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS
No
No 28%
Over 3.5
23%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Sporting CP
LWDLW
STABLE
Tondela
LDWDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy73%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPTABLE_EXTREMES
Standings data available (Tier 2)Away team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskElevated draw risk (21.4%) - consider AHElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got GOLD/3 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.27
Sporting CPvs
0.38
TondelaGoal Probability
Sporting CP
0
10%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Tondela
0
68%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (15%)2-0 (12%)1-1 (11%)2-1 (9%)0-0 (9%)0-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 70% | 30% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 44% | 56% | - |
| 3.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Sporting CP+15
Gap#17
Tondela
WR 83% 62 pts
WR 25% 19 pts
Sporting CP
10.0%
| Mar 11 | Sportin… v Bodø/Gl… | 3-0 |
| Mar 07 | Sportin… v Alianza… | 3-1 |
| Mar 07 | Sportin… v SC Braga | 2-2 |
| Mar 04 | Sportin… v Carabob… | 0-1 |
| Mar 03 | Sportin… v FC Porto | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | Sportin… v Sport H… | 2-1 |
| Feb 27 | Sportin… v Estoril | 3-0 |
| Feb 25 | Sportin… v 2 de Ma… | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | Sportin… v Univers… | 2-2 |
| Feb 21 | Sportin… v Moreire… | 0-3 |
Tondela
10.0%
| Mar 09 | Tondela v Rio Ave… | 0-1 |
| Mar 01 | Tondela v Santa C… | 2-2 |
| Feb 20 | Tondela v Estrela… | 0-2 |
| Feb 13 | Tondela v Alverca | 1-1 |
| Feb 07 | Tondela v Estoril | 2-2 |
| Feb 01 | Tondela v Benfica | 0-0 |
| Jan 25 | Tondela v Famalic… | 3-0 |
| Jan 18 | Tondela v SC Braga | 0-1 |
| Jan 11 | Tondela v Moreire… | 1-0 |
| Jan 03 | Tondela v Arouca | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Oct 26, 2025 | Tondela | 0-3 | Sporting CP |
| Jan 09, 2024 | Sporting CP | 4-0 | Tondela |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Tondela | 1-2 | Sporting CP |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
92%
Standings
93%
Market
50%
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.