Amapaense · Mar 13, 2026 23:00
Independiente FSJ
PWR 49
Ypiranga-RS
PWR 42
Independiente FSJ
PWR 49
2-1
predicted
Ypiranga-RS
PWR 42
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Independiente FSJ Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (15%)1-0 (14%)3-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)1-1 (9%)0-0 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
82%
Home/Draw
1.28x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.64x
Over 2.5
48%
Under 2.5
52%
BTTS
No 40%
Over 3.5
26%
Team Comparison
54Attack49
55Defense44
Goals/G
1.51.4
Conc/G
1.31.6
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Independiente …
WDDWL
STABLE
Ypiranga-RS
LWLWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
POINTS_GAP
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 2% = 35.1% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.3%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.09
Independiente …vs
0.60
Ypiranga-RSGoal Probability
Independien…
0
12%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Ypiranga-RS
0
55%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (16%)1-0 (16%)3-0 (11%)2-1 (8%)1-1 (8%)0-0 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 73% | 27% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 47% | 53% | - |
| 3.5 | 26% | 74% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Independien…+2
Gap#5
Ypiranga-RS
WR 36% 45 pts
WR 33% 21 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente… | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 40 | 45 |
| Ypiranga-RS | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 25 | 29 | 21 |
Independiente …
12.0%
| Mar 09 | Indepen… v Macapá | 1-3 |
| Mar 05 | Indepen… v Santos | 2-2 |
| Feb 26 | Indepen… v Remo | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Indepen… v Oratório | 3-0 |
| Feb 18 | Indepen… v Ivinhema | 1-0 |
| Feb 13 | Indepen… v Capital | 0-3 |
| Feb 07 | Indepen… v Londrina | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Indepen… v Londrina | 1-1 |
| Jan 24 | Indepen… v Azuriz | 1-0 |
| Jan 21 | Indepen… v Corinth… | 0-1 |
Ypiranga-RS
12.0%
| Mar 11 | Ypirang… v Athleti… | 2-0 |
| Mar 10 | Ypirang… v Capital | 0-2 |
| Mar 07 | Ypirang… v São Jos… | 0-1 |
| Mar 01 | Ypirang… v Macapá | 0-1 |
| Feb 25 | Ypirang… v Paranoá | 2-0 |
| Feb 23 | Ypirang… v Santos | 2-3 |
| Feb 21 | Ypirang… v Interna… | 4-0 |
| Feb 15 | Ypirang… v Interna… | 0-3 |
| Feb 11 | Ypirang… v Oratório | 0-2 |
| Feb 06 | Ypirang… v Caxias | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Apr 03, 2025 | Ypiranga-RS | 0-0 | Independiente… |
Decision Breakdown
ODDS60+M70 (77.4%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
87%
Standings
50%
Market
63%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Ypiranga-RS in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.