FKF Premier League · Mar 14, 2026 12:30

Mathare United
PWR 35
1-1
predicted

AFC Leopards
PWR 35
33% 27% 40%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-1 (25%)0-2 (18%)0-0 (17%)0-3 (9%)1-1 (8%)1-2 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
26%
Under 2.5 74%
74%
BTTS No
No 21%
Over 3.5
18%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Mathare United LWLLD
STABLE
AFC Leopards WLWDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League has >30% draw rate
High draw league: FKF Premier League
Expected Goals (xG)
0.32
Mathare United
vs
1.46
AFC Leopards
Goal Probability
Mathare Uni…
0
73%
1
23%
2
4%
3
0%
4
0%
AFC Leopards
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (18%)0-2 (14%)0-0 (11%)1-1 (11%)1-2 (9%)1-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 89% 11% OVER
1.5 64% 36% -
2.5 37% 63% -
3.5 18% 83% UNDER
4.5 7% 93% UNDER
5.5 2% 98% UNDER
6.5 1% 99% UNDER
League Position
#12
Mathare Uni…
-10
Gap
#2
AFC Leopards
WR 36% 26 pts WR 50% 43 pts
Mathare United 6.0%
Feb 28 Mathare… v Gor Mah… 2-1
Feb 28 Mathare… v Gucha S… 3-1
Feb 25 Mathare… v Shabana 0-1
Feb 22 Mathare… v Kabati … 2-0
Feb 21 Mathare… v Karioba… 1-1
Feb 15 Mathare… v Darajan… 2-2
Feb 14 Mathare… v Tusker 3-1
Feb 01 Mathare… v Kisumu … 0-0
Jan 31 Mathare… v KCB 1-2
Jan 25 Mathare… v Soy Uni… 1-0
AFC Leopards 14.0%
Mar 01 AFC Leo… v Shabana 5-1
Feb 26 AFC Leo… v KCB 1-0
Feb 21 AFC Leo… v Posta R… 2-1
Feb 14 AFC Leo… v Bandari 0-0
Jan 25 AFC Leo… v Sofapaka 0-1
Jan 17 AFC Leo… v APS Bom… 2-1
Jan 11 AFC Leo… v Tusker 0-4
Jan 07 AFC Leo… v Nairobi… 0-2
Jan 04 AFC Leo… v Homeboyz 0-1
Dec 23 AFC Leo… v Bidco U… 0-1
Head-to-Head (1)
Nov 02, 2025 AFC Leopards 2-0 Mathare United
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
35%
Standings
30%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
AFC Leopards in strong form (3W in last 5)
Mathare United struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.