La Liga · Mar 08, 2026 13:00
Villarreal
PWR 43
Elche
PWR 34
Villarreal
PWR 43
2 - 1
FT
Elche
PWR 34
59%
22%
19%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Villarreal Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
77%
TierPREMIUM
LIKELY SCORES
3-1 (8%)3-0 (8%)2-1 (6%)2-0 (6%)3-2 (4%)1-1 (3%)
CORRECT 2-1
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
84%
Home/Draw
1.25x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.89x
Over 2.5
68%
68%
Under 2.5
32%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 62%
Over 3.5
58%
58%
Team Comparison
56Attack41
67Defense56
Goals/G
1.91.4
Conc/G
1.11.5
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Villarreal
LWWLW
STABLE
Elche
DLDLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy77%
AWAY_LEAKINGPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPTABLE_EXTREMES
Full data available (Tier 1)H2H: 2/8 draws (25%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (25.7%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.66
Villarrealvs
1.02
ElcheGoal Probability
Villarreal
0
3%
1
9%
2
17%
3
21%
4
19%
Elche
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
6%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)1-1 (7%)2-2 (6%)2-0 (6%)3-2 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 77% | 23% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 58% | 42% | - |
| 4.5 | 39% | 61% | - |
| 5.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Villarreal+13
Gap#17
Elche
WR 79% 54 pts
WR 0% 26 pts
Villarreal
12.0%
| Feb 28 | Villarr… v Barcelo… | 4-1 |
| Feb 22 | Villarr… v Valencia | 2-1 |
| Feb 18 | Villarr… v Levante | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Villarr… v Getafe | 2-1 |
| Feb 09 | Villarr… v Espanyol | 4-1 |
| Jan 31 | Villarr… v Osasuna | 2-2 |
| Jan 28 | Villarr… v Bayer L… | 3-0 |
| Jan 24 | Villarr… v Real Ma… | 0-2 |
| Jan 20 | Villarr… v Ajax | 1-2 |
| Jan 17 | Villarr… v Real Be… | 2-0 |
Elche
4.0%
| Mar 01 | Elche v Espanyol | 2-2 |
| Feb 20 | Elche v Athleti… | 2-1 |
| Feb 13 | Elche v Osasuna | 0-0 |
| Feb 07 | Elche v Real So… | 3-1 |
| Jan 31 | Elche v Barcelo… | 1-3 |
| Jan 23 | Elche v Levante | 3-2 |
| Jan 19 | Elche v Sevilla | 2-2 |
| Jan 14 | Elche v Real Be… | 2-1 |
| Jan 10 | Elche v Valencia | 1-1 |
| Jan 03 | Elche v Villarr… | 1-3 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Jan 03, 2026 | Elche | 1-3 | Villarreal |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Villarreal | 0-1 | Elche |
| Feb 04, 2023 | Elche | 3-1 | Villarreal |
| Sep 04, 2022 | Villarreal | 4-0 | Elche |
| Jan 16, 2022 | Elche | 1-0 | Villarreal |
| Sep 22, 2021 | Villarreal | 4-1 | Elche |
| Feb 06, 2021 | Elche | 2-2 | Villarreal |
| Dec 06, 2020 | Villarreal | 0-0 | Elche |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)ODDS60+M70 (77.4%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
90%
Market
66%
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Villarreal in strong form (3W in last 5)
Elche struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.