Stars League · Mar 12, 2026 18:30
Al-Gharafa
PWR 35
Qatar SC
PWR 35
PWR 35
2-2
predicted
Al-Gharafa
PWR 35
55%
23%
22%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Qatar SC Win
Score
2-2
Confidence
37%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-2 (5%)3-1 (4%)3-3 (3%)2-2 (3%)2-1 (3%)3-0 (2%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.84x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.55x
Over 2.5
65%
65%
Under 2.5
35%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 86%
Over 3.5
82%
82%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Qatar SC
WLDWD
STABLE
Al-Gharafa
WLLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk23%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesElevated draw risk (22.5%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got SKIP/1 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Qatar SCvs
2.07
Al-GharafaGoal Probability
Qatar SC
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Al-Gharafa
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
CORRECT SCORES
3-1 (6%)4-1 (6%)3-2 (5%)4-2 (5%)5-1 (5%)2-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 100% | 0% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 82% | 18% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 67% | 33% | OVER |
| 5.5 | 50% | 50% | - |
| 6.5 | 34% | 66% | UNDER |
League Position
#5
Qatar SC-3
Gap#2
Al-Gharafa
WR 50% 24 pts
WR 50% 34 pts
Qatar SC
12.0%
| Feb 20 | Qatar SC v Al Sail… | 3-4 |
| Feb 13 | Qatar SC v Al Sham… | 2-1 |
| Feb 06 | Qatar SC v Al-Rayy… | 3-3 |
| Jan 31 | Qatar SC v Al Ahli… | 1-3 |
| Jan 26 | Qatar SC v Al-Arab… | 2-2 |
| Jan 19 | Qatar SC v Al-Ghar… | 3-2 |
| Jan 17 | Qatar SC v Al Sail… | 2-1 |
| Jan 08 | Qatar SC v Al-Sadd… | 2-3 |
| Dec 28 | Qatar SC v Al-Duha… | 1-0 |
| Dec 12 | Qatar SC v Al-Bidda | 1-2 |
Al-Gharafa
4.0%
| Feb 26 | Al-Ghar… v Al-Rayy… | 3-2 |
| Feb 22 | Al-Ghar… v Al Sham… | 0-1 |
| Feb 17 | Al-Ghar… v Tractor | 0-2 |
| Feb 10 | Al-Ghar… v Al-Itti… | 7-0 |
| Feb 05 | Al-Ghar… v Al Sail… | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | Al-Ghar… v Al-Sadd… | 1-3 |
| Jan 22 | Al-Ghar… v Sharjah… | 1-1 |
| Jan 19 | Al-Ghar… v Qatar SC | 3-2 |
| Jan 15 | Al-Ghar… v Al-Arab… | 1-2 |
| Jan 06 | Al-Ghar… v UMM Sal… | 2-3 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jan 19, 2026 | Qatar SC | 3-2 | Al-Gharafa |
| Nov 07, 2025 | Al-Gharafa | 2-1 | Qatar SC |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Al-Gharafa | 4-2 | Qatar SC |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Qatar SC | 1-3 | Al-Gharafa |
| May 19, 2024 | Al-Gharafa | 2-2 | Qatar SC |
| Dec 20, 2023 | Al-Gharafa | 2-1 | Qatar SC |
| Aug 17, 2023 | Qatar SC | 4-4 | Al-Gharafa |
| Apr 28, 2023 | Al-Gharafa | 0-1 | Qatar SC |
| Mar 09, 2023 | Al-Gharafa | 4-1 | Qatar SC |
| Jan 11, 2023 | Qatar SC | 5-0 | Al-Gharafa |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
44%
Market
32%
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Al-Gharafa struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.